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Q & A | 07/01/2008 12:05 pm

Nobody, Including Barack Obama Himself, Expected It

© AP

Editor’s Note: Gail Collins is a columnist for The New York Times.

LESLEY: So, Gail, I want to say right up front that I love reading your column …

GAIL: Oh, thank you.

LESLEY: … especially on Saturdays because it’s an unhurried morning. You always – almost always – make me chuckle. And then you come around and hit me with an especially kind of pungent insight, especially about this election. So I’m wondering why you think so many of the pundits got so much about this campaign wrong this time. Was it the nature of the candidates – you know, the woman, the African-American, the maverick, the evangelical? Or is there a problem within the punditry itself?

GAIL: Since the creation of 24-hour TV, just the necessity of talking so much really does drain everybody … there’s only so much you can say. And there’s not really much great desire for a half-hour talk about competing health-care plans. I mean, it’s just this sort of general talk about how the elections are going. And so people are kind of required, I think, to push themselves a lot more than they used to be.

LESLEY: And there’s no time to think. I mean, the minute you’ve finished saying one thing they’re calling you to come right in and talk some more.

GAIL: Yeah, you’re basically talking about the same thing over and over again. So you do sort of create general, you know, conventional wisdoms. But that said, this has been a really weird campaign. I was certainly wrong about absolutely everything. I’ve always presumed that the thing that everybody thinks is going to happen is usually, actually, unfortunately the thing that happens. And nobody, including Hillary Clinton, thought Barack — I’m not even sure Barack Obama thought Barack Obama was going to catch the way he did. I mean, he wasn’t that great a candidate when he started out. He was a good candidate, but nobody who you would say, "My gosh, this person is so spectacular right now that he doesn’t need to wait. He should — this is it." But, last summer and early fall, he just caught on fire and it took everybody by surprise. And his organization and the excitement of people in the caucus states took everybody by surprise. So that one —

LESLEY: Yeah, it took them by surprise, but he was ready.

GAIL: Yeah.

LESLEY: Which is different from Hillary Clinton’s campaign, which wasn’t ready for whatever came their way.

GAIL: I, like everybody else, has said, "Well, you know, the problem was she didn’t organize in the caucus states well." Those early caucus states, where you don’t have a general election, you just have the people who are willing to get up and go to the local school and vote. They’re the only ones who matter. And she didn’t organize that well in those states. But that said, to win in those states generally you need really committed, excited people behind you. It’s not necessarily the same kind of voter who goes out for a regular primary election. They’re people who are really dedicated, who are really willing to stand in long lines and give up their Saturday afternoon. And so I’m not sure, even, if she was well organized; that her support, which tends to be very broad but not necessarily all that deep, could have beaten his really, really, really excited, intense supporters.

LESLEY: Well, having admitted that you got a lot wrong, let’s give you an opportunity to either be wrong again —

179 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Frank Peterson
Carol—tell me about it—I would love to see a 1 week moratorium on TV news re teh candidates. That would be a joy to live with, lol
By Frank Peterson on 07/01/2008 4:00 pm
beth willis
I share your sentiments, Frannie. I’ve always thought how unusual that the TV news, with a few startling exceptions, always lasts thirty minutes Within that time element we receive the news according to the station manager’s best guess as to “importance/relevance” I’ve always been a newspaper/magazine person. I need information from a variety of sources to balance my imagination and the actual facts. Another issue I’ve observed is the news folks standing up (literally) during the entire broadcast. Maybe next the networks will add gum to the mix: report the news, stand up, chew gum all at the same time. Fabulous. Peace and grace
By beth willis on 07/02/2008 12:56 pm
kermie b
Sorry, what is IMO?
By kermie b on 07/01/2008 2:27 pm
E .
Did anyone answer you ki b? I -in M- my O - opinion For a basic search of internet acronyms, symbols etc. you can look here: http://www.thirdage.com/features/tech/netglos/#top For a no holds barred search look here: http://www.urbandictionary.com/
By E . on 07/01/2008 3:04 pm
~ countrywoman ~
Hey thanks Elizabeth Flynn! I think many of us have struggled to figure out the “shorthand” and I really appreciate your references. Now, can you suggest a resource to help me figure out the cryptic “vanity” license plates? :)
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 3:15 pm
Frank Peterson
I gave up on license plates ages ago—they’re entirely too abstruse for my tastes.
By Frank Peterson on 07/01/2008 5:08 pm
K O
Thanks, Elizabeth. Before visiting this site, I didn’t know what lmao, roflmao, stfu or imo meant. I am holding firm in my refusal to use these acronyms myself, but I do appreciate knowing what other people mean when they do. Thanks also for the site. Now, I can look them up by myself…and, thanks ki b, for asking the quesion, too. I thought I was the only one who didn’t know this stuff.
By K O on 07/01/2008 3:33 pm
Diana T
Hello, Kitty, Good to see that there is another holdout in using these irritating acronyms. Real words are more fun anyway.
By Diana T on 07/01/2008 3:53 pm
~ countrywoman ~
Holdout…..me too, although I am addicted to the little smiley-face emoticon.
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 4:10 pm
mary lou s
diana, in my reading i frequently find myself going back to see if there is a clue about the meaning of the alphabet soup before me.
By mary lou s on 07/01/2008 4:24 pm
phyllis Doyle Pepe
I hate these little letters that stand for real words. I love words–––I love the sound of words. I repeat: I hate these little letters. Hark! I hear someone–––yes? Aha––they just told me they don’t give a flying fig and to get with the program~~~~~~~sigh.
By phyllis Doyle Pepe on 07/01/2008 5:40 pm
Frannie Em
For me, those acronyms just make typing easier. Some were complaining about lol, but hey, I gotta laugh and lol says it easier than laugh out loud. I like to let people know I appreciate their sense of humor so I type lol.
By Frannie Em on 07/01/2008 6:21 pm
E .
@>—,—
By E . on 07/01/2008 11:38 pm
~ countrywoman ~
Elizabeth….okay, I give up:

@>-,- = ?????
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/02/2008 12:22 am
Lorraine Bates
Looks like Elizabeth has left us a little rose. Thanks, Elizabeth! I’ve learned to type and read “internet shorthand” by texting with my teens. If they speak that way, I have to learn what it means. Especially the sort hand for things like: POS: Parent over shoulder LMIRL: Let’s meet in real life There are more - the link above is a good one - be sure you know what your kids are texting and chatting about!
By Lorraine Bates on 07/02/2008 8:06 am