Sign in to wowOwow

Enter the email address that you used when registering at wowOwow.
The password field is case sensitive. Click here if you have forgotten your password.

Please register for wowOwow

Newsletter subscriptions
Sign up to receive wowOwow's weekly newsletter and get our best picks delivered right to your inbox. Our newsletter content is hand-picked by the wowOwow editorial team and provides the top features, news, and commentary from our site. Subscribing to our newsletter is free and safe. We will never share your email or other information with a third-party without your direct consent.
By registering, you indicate that you have read and agree
with our privacy policy and terms of service.

Q & A | 07/01/2008 12:05 pm

Nobody, Including Barack Obama Himself, Expected It

© AP

Editor’s Note: Gail Collins is a columnist for The New York Times.

LESLEY: So, Gail, I want to say right up front that I love reading your column …

GAIL: Oh, thank you.

LESLEY: … especially on Saturdays because it’s an unhurried morning. You always – almost always – make me chuckle. And then you come around and hit me with an especially kind of pungent insight, especially about this election. So I’m wondering why you think so many of the pundits got so much about this campaign wrong this time. Was it the nature of the candidates – you know, the woman, the African-American, the maverick, the evangelical? Or is there a problem within the punditry itself?

GAIL: Since the creation of 24-hour TV, just the necessity of talking so much really does drain everybody … there’s only so much you can say. And there’s not really much great desire for a half-hour talk about competing health-care plans. I mean, it’s just this sort of general talk about how the elections are going. And so people are kind of required, I think, to push themselves a lot more than they used to be.

LESLEY: And there’s no time to think. I mean, the minute you’ve finished saying one thing they’re calling you to come right in and talk some more.

GAIL: Yeah, you’re basically talking about the same thing over and over again. So you do sort of create general, you know, conventional wisdoms. But that said, this has been a really weird campaign. I was certainly wrong about absolutely everything. I’ve always presumed that the thing that everybody thinks is going to happen is usually, actually, unfortunately the thing that happens. And nobody, including Hillary Clinton, thought Barack — I’m not even sure Barack Obama thought Barack Obama was going to catch the way he did. I mean, he wasn’t that great a candidate when he started out. He was a good candidate, but nobody who you would say, "My gosh, this person is so spectacular right now that he doesn’t need to wait. He should — this is it." But, last summer and early fall, he just caught on fire and it took everybody by surprise. And his organization and the excitement of people in the caucus states took everybody by surprise. So that one —

LESLEY: Yeah, it took them by surprise, but he was ready.

GAIL: Yeah.

LESLEY: Which is different from Hillary Clinton’s campaign, which wasn’t ready for whatever came their way.

GAIL: I, like everybody else, has said, "Well, you know, the problem was she didn’t organize in the caucus states well." Those early caucus states, where you don’t have a general election, you just have the people who are willing to get up and go to the local school and vote. They’re the only ones who matter. And she didn’t organize that well in those states. But that said, to win in those states generally you need really committed, excited people behind you. It’s not necessarily the same kind of voter who goes out for a regular primary election. They’re people who are really dedicated, who are really willing to stand in long lines and give up their Saturday afternoon. And so I’m not sure, even, if she was well organized; that her support, which tends to be very broad but not necessarily all that deep, could have beaten his really, really, really excited, intense supporters.

LESLEY: Well, having admitted that you got a lot wrong, let’s give you an opportunity to either be wrong again —

179 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

~ countrywoman ~
Star
Just so we know where you are coming from on this one, what is it about that statement of fact do you find racist and/or offensive? And “slides it in there” means……….?
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 6:29 pm
Bonnie D-Z
Any racial comments I hear are expressed by Obama , his supporters, and the media. I’ve yet to be convinced that he’s the best qualified individual to serve at the helm, particularly considering his prior work experience and accomplishments to date. This is no time for a popularity contest.
By Bonnie D-Z on 07/01/2008 5:11 pm
~ countrywoman ~
Bonnie: No way to know your sources of information, but it seems to me that the racial comments are bouncing around like bee-bees in a barrel, and they come from EVERYWHERE! Could it be that what you hear expressed is actually my candidate, fellow supporters, and the (insert derogatory adjective) media RESPONDING to the racism? I totally agree with you about the popularity contest as criteria. We are facing a critical decision with huge consequences as we evaluate the candidates. I am so hopeful, and respectful when I read that you have “YET to be convinced…..” Unlike some others who post here, you are keeping an open mind.
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 7:24 pm
phyllis Doyle Pepe
I get the distinct feeling here, Marjorie, that you don’t like Obama. And that, as they say, is fine and dandy, but I just want to clear something up. I don’t know that the race card is Obama’s gimmick, yet you claim he does and I do. Do you know more than we two?
By phyllis Doyle Pepe on 07/01/2008 5:50 pm
~ countrywoman ~
Oh yes, phyllis, more than even we THREE! Some posters just know everything, and frequently need to tell us so.

Kool Aid anyone?
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 6:04 pm
Sarah N.
haha make that four! imho (i used that on purpose), hannity and rush certainly have earned their salaries this year!
By Sarah N. on 07/02/2008 5:28 am
doll lady
By countrywoman on 07/01/2008 6:04 pm My oh my…..wiping spit from my screen as I roll onto the floor laughing!!!!
By doll lady on 07/02/2008 6:56 am
doll lady
RE my post: By doll lady on 07/02/2008 6:56 am I really messed that up….it looked like countrywoman said it. Ha ha ha ha ….what i really was doing was trying to highlight her post while laughing my butt off!
By doll lady on 07/02/2008 6:59 am
Marjorie C.
Phyllis: I don’t think Obama is ready to be POTUS. Nothing about him inspires confidence, and a lot about him makes me wary. Obama has run this race on race. In that sense, he’s a novelty. That’s why he was able to pull ahead of Edwards and Richardson who are probably more qualified. There is nothing wrong with this per se except when he tries to make people believe that if they don’t vote for him, they must be racist. It’s makes about as much sense as if one said if you don’t vote for McCain, it must be because you hate septagenarians. Obama has the race card tucked in his breast pocket close to his heart. Whenever the conversation turns serious as in important issues of the day, or his qualifications, or his associates, he pulls out the card. Everyone stops what they are saying and apologize to him. No wonder he’s always laughing.
By Marjorie C. on 07/02/2008 5:47 am
DeBúrca obj
Why is he not a white candidate? Because in this country if you’re 1/2 black you’re considered black by the media and much of the public … Obama didn’t invent that. Also, he has never presented himself as “the black candidate”, the media has called him that (ppl like like Ferraro for instance) and he hasn’t RUN AWAY from it… and if you call that playing the race card you are just looking for a reason to criticize him.
By DeBúrca obj on 07/07/2008 10:05 pm
Frank Peterson
Just for the hell if it: Happy Birthday Canada!
By Frank Peterson on 07/01/2008 12:34 pm
mary lou s
yes. happy birthday, canada!!!
By mary lou s on 07/01/2008 4:29 pm
rocky rocky
I guess people hear what they want to hear — the things that support the opinion or decision they’ve already made. I don’t see why some just don’t say they won’t vote black. If you can’t admit it in public, I hope you can at least admit it to yourself. It’s like hearing someone talk about his or her dreams, embarrassing everyone with the Freudian symbolism. Please don’t think I’m asking you not to say anything you want or feel or think. I’d tell a friend her slip was showing. Thought I’d do the same for you.
By rocky rocky on 07/01/2008 1:24 pm
Star Lawrence
Are you saying we are looking for something to support our “racism”—or was this aimed at the previous notes?…It’s hard to tell on here. If that is what you meant, I would say that is an ugly comment and totally unsubstantiated. Obama introduced race after saying he was post-racial or non-racial. It’s a fact.
By Star Lawrence on 07/01/2008 2:23 pm
~ countrywoman ~
rocky rocky, I always appreciate it when a friend tells me my slip is showing.

And Star….may I offer you a nice glass of pinot?
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 4:43 pm