Sign in to wowOwow

Enter the email address that you used when registering at wowOwow.
The password field is case sensitive. Click here if you have forgotten your password.

Please register for wowOwow

Newsletter subscriptions
Sign up to receive wowOwow's weekly newsletter and get our best picks delivered right to your inbox. Our newsletter content is hand-picked by the wowOwow editorial team and provides the top features, news, and commentary from our site. Subscribing to our newsletter is free and safe. We will never share your email or other information with a third-party without your direct consent.
By registering, you indicate that you have read and agree
with our privacy policy and terms of service.

Q & A | 07/01/2008 12:05 pm

Nobody, Including Barack Obama Himself, Expected It

© AP

Editor’s Note: Gail Collins is a columnist for The New York Times.

LESLEY: So, Gail, I want to say right up front that I love reading your column …

GAIL: Oh, thank you.

LESLEY: … especially on Saturdays because it’s an unhurried morning. You always – almost always – make me chuckle. And then you come around and hit me with an especially kind of pungent insight, especially about this election. So I’m wondering why you think so many of the pundits got so much about this campaign wrong this time. Was it the nature of the candidates – you know, the woman, the African-American, the maverick, the evangelical? Or is there a problem within the punditry itself?

GAIL: Since the creation of 24-hour TV, just the necessity of talking so much really does drain everybody … there’s only so much you can say. And there’s not really much great desire for a half-hour talk about competing health-care plans. I mean, it’s just this sort of general talk about how the elections are going. And so people are kind of required, I think, to push themselves a lot more than they used to be.

LESLEY: And there’s no time to think. I mean, the minute you’ve finished saying one thing they’re calling you to come right in and talk some more.

GAIL: Yeah, you’re basically talking about the same thing over and over again. So you do sort of create general, you know, conventional wisdoms. But that said, this has been a really weird campaign. I was certainly wrong about absolutely everything. I’ve always presumed that the thing that everybody thinks is going to happen is usually, actually, unfortunately the thing that happens. And nobody, including Hillary Clinton, thought Barack — I’m not even sure Barack Obama thought Barack Obama was going to catch the way he did. I mean, he wasn’t that great a candidate when he started out. He was a good candidate, but nobody who you would say, "My gosh, this person is so spectacular right now that he doesn’t need to wait. He should — this is it." But, last summer and early fall, he just caught on fire and it took everybody by surprise. And his organization and the excitement of people in the caucus states took everybody by surprise. So that one —

LESLEY: Yeah, it took them by surprise, but he was ready.

GAIL: Yeah.

LESLEY: Which is different from Hillary Clinton’s campaign, which wasn’t ready for whatever came their way.

GAIL: I, like everybody else, has said, "Well, you know, the problem was she didn’t organize in the caucus states well." Those early caucus states, where you don’t have a general election, you just have the people who are willing to get up and go to the local school and vote. They’re the only ones who matter. And she didn’t organize that well in those states. But that said, to win in those states generally you need really committed, excited people behind you. It’s not necessarily the same kind of voter who goes out for a regular primary election. They’re people who are really dedicated, who are really willing to stand in long lines and give up their Saturday afternoon. And so I’m not sure, even, if she was well organized; that her support, which tends to be very broad but not necessarily all that deep, could have beaten his really, really, really excited, intense supporters.

LESLEY: Well, having admitted that you got a lot wrong, let’s give you an opportunity to either be wrong again —

179 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

~ countrywoman ~
Hi ki b

A variation on IMO is IMHO: “In My Humble Opinion.” ……that one makes me smile because the opinion it rides in with usually seems miles from “humble” to me. Re your second question, have you tried a google search? If not, I bet one of the very bright WowSisters will have an answer for you before long. :)
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 3:08 pm
Star Lawrence
Laff Out Loud! I also smile everytime some says “with all due respect,” because I know no respect is due…in their minds.
By Star Lawrence on 07/01/2008 3:27 pm
~ countrywoman ~
Ah yes Star, the “due respect” …..read: “let’s pretend”……assertion is another one of those chuckle-producers. Cousin to the “bless her heart” phrase used to neutralize nasty remarks. As in: “Oh lord, that was the ugliest baby I ever laid eyes on, bless her heart!

And don’t get me started on LOL!
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 3:48 pm
Brooklyn Gal
I don’t mind LOL if you are referring to a comment that makes you laugh after reading it, but when it’s put after their own comments, I’m not sure if they are saying something in jest or think they are actually funny.
By Brooklyn Gal on 07/01/2008 4:05 pm
Marjorie C.
Carol: “… but when it’s put after their own comments, I’m not sure if they are saying something in jest … Sibelle used to do that all the time. Wonder where she is — she was kind of offbeat and fun. I always took the LOL as a nervous giggle, but I guess it could be taken a lot of different ways. Tough to communicate by keyboard.
By Marjorie C. on 07/01/2008 4:19 pm
Frannie Em
Countrywoman That is so true. Maybe I will start a new acronym TIST - That is so true. We could make up our own language and not tell anyone.
By Frannie Em on 07/01/2008 7:19 pm
~ countrywoman ~
Frannie

Sounds like wicked fun to me!
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/01/2008 7:56 pm
Frannie Em
Countrywoman You first. YF
By Frannie Em on 07/01/2008 10:45 pm
~ countrywoman ~
All-righty then, Frannie

YCMMD (Your comment made my day!)

Or the flip side: VVNWH (Vacuous vitriol not welcome here!)

:-)
By ~ countrywoman ~ on 07/02/2008 1:33 am
Frank Peterson
I actually refer: IMNSHO in my not so humble opinion lol
By Frank Peterson on 07/01/2008 3:39 pm
Chrome Toe
I’m so very sad to say that in a family argument about the upcoming elections (one faction of my family is very conservative - and then there’s…me) that one of my family members in the heat of the moment practically yelled “he’s black!” as a means of saying that he’s not presidential material. I have no doubt that his race will affect the election. I think it’s true that people won’t come out and say they won’t vote for a black person. but in the voting booth where no one can see them… god help us that we’re not bigger than that… it’s shocking
By Chrome Toe on 07/01/2008 3:41 pm
Agyness O
Kelly Kelly, I have had the same unfortunate reaction, not with family, but with friends back home ( the south) that are intelligent and educated people. For the most part, they refrain from using the B word but it is so obvious. I have found this shocking. Don’t know if it is because I left home after colllege but I think not. Even though I am liberal, I have tremendous respect for Chuck Hagel as some of you have mentioned above which I am glad to see. I am thinking that he might even be in an Obama cabinet and would like to see it.
By Agyness O on 07/01/2008 4:18 pm
Frannie Em
Kelly That is shocking, but the world is still that way. What can we say? This is changing it though, hang on to your hats.
By Frannie Em on 07/01/2008 7:21 pm
Barbara
Thanks for a great read. What puzzles me is that we have such intelligent and thoughtful people managing a news organization and we have people who are watching all of these 24 hour news and talk shows. But then you hear about potential voters in Ohio or wherever who insist that rumors they hear are correct. The latest article I read was about people in a small Ohio town who were challenged about whether Obama is Muslim. They are convinced, absolutely convinced that he is…because someone in their town said so. No other proof. Nothing about all the news sources discussing this issue. Just the word of “someone” in their town. And it’s enough to convince them to vote for the other candidate, even if they don’t agree with that candidate’s positions. This is scary stuff. I wish we could have more focus on substantive issues and less on race, religion, patriotism or whatever the emotional issue du jour is.
By Barbara on 07/01/2008 4:05 pm
Brooklyn Gal
Barbara, I know someone who believes those emails, and nothing I can say will convince her w/o actually getting into an argument over intelligence. So if you come up with something, let me know. Obama has a site devoted to these rumors, but it’s not reaching the intended audience.
By Brooklyn Gal on 07/01/2008 4:15 pm