Sign in to wowOwow

Enter the email address that you used when registering at wowOwow.
The password field is case sensitive. Click here if you have forgotten your password.

Please register for wowOwow

Newsletter subscriptions
Sign up to receive wowOwow's weekly newsletter and get our best picks delivered right to your inbox. Our newsletter content is hand-picked by the wowOwow editorial team and provides the top features, news, and commentary from our site. Subscribing to our newsletter is free and safe. We will never share your email or other information with a third-party without your direct consent.
By registering, you indicate that you have read and agree
with our privacy policy and terms of service.

Q & A | 07/01/2008 12:05 pm

Nobody, Including Barack Obama Himself, Expected It

© AP

Editor’s Note: Gail Collins is a columnist for The New York Times.

LESLEY: So, Gail, I want to say right up front that I love reading your column …

GAIL: Oh, thank you.

LESLEY: … especially on Saturdays because it’s an unhurried morning. You always – almost always – make me chuckle. And then you come around and hit me with an especially kind of pungent insight, especially about this election. So I’m wondering why you think so many of the pundits got so much about this campaign wrong this time. Was it the nature of the candidates – you know, the woman, the African-American, the maverick, the evangelical? Or is there a problem within the punditry itself?

GAIL: Since the creation of 24-hour TV, just the necessity of talking so much really does drain everybody … there’s only so much you can say. And there’s not really much great desire for a half-hour talk about competing health-care plans. I mean, it’s just this sort of general talk about how the elections are going. And so people are kind of required, I think, to push themselves a lot more than they used to be.

LESLEY: And there’s no time to think. I mean, the minute you’ve finished saying one thing they’re calling you to come right in and talk some more.

GAIL: Yeah, you’re basically talking about the same thing over and over again. So you do sort of create general, you know, conventional wisdoms. But that said, this has been a really weird campaign. I was certainly wrong about absolutely everything. I’ve always presumed that the thing that everybody thinks is going to happen is usually, actually, unfortunately the thing that happens. And nobody, including Hillary Clinton, thought Barack — I’m not even sure Barack Obama thought Barack Obama was going to catch the way he did. I mean, he wasn’t that great a candidate when he started out. He was a good candidate, but nobody who you would say, "My gosh, this person is so spectacular right now that he doesn’t need to wait. He should — this is it." But, last summer and early fall, he just caught on fire and it took everybody by surprise. And his organization and the excitement of people in the caucus states took everybody by surprise. So that one —

LESLEY: Yeah, it took them by surprise, but he was ready.

GAIL: Yeah.

LESLEY: Which is different from Hillary Clinton’s campaign, which wasn’t ready for whatever came their way.

GAIL: I, like everybody else, has said, "Well, you know, the problem was she didn’t organize in the caucus states well." Those early caucus states, where you don’t have a general election, you just have the people who are willing to get up and go to the local school and vote. They’re the only ones who matter. And she didn’t organize that well in those states. But that said, to win in those states generally you need really committed, excited people behind you. It’s not necessarily the same kind of voter who goes out for a regular primary election. They’re people who are really dedicated, who are really willing to stand in long lines and give up their Saturday afternoon. And so I’m not sure, even, if she was well organized; that her support, which tends to be very broad but not necessarily all that deep, could have beaten his really, really, really excited, intense supporters.

LESLEY: Well, having admitted that you got a lot wrong, let’s give you an opportunity to either be wrong again —

179 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Frank Peterson
Barbara: it has to do with the way our brains work—preconceived notions and ingrained prejudices will dampen any rational aspect of thinking. I was raised in a racist home and it took me years to get rid of the crap I “learned” from that experience. It takes an immense, intense amount of effort and will power to do it. But I managed and I thank my education for helping me get rid of all that crap.
By Frank Peterson on 07/01/2008 5:19 pm
beth willis
Congratulations, Frank. Growing up in a segregated environment, I appreciate how difficult it is to create “new tapes” in our minds as we slowly delete the prejudices of our past, usually not of our making.”.Poor souls, we didn’t know any better” I had a chilhood friend whose Mother was Aunt Bea(not literally), and she taught us to avoid emotional onslaughts and to just give them a look like “You poor soul, you don’t know any better” I think that is largely the catalyst for all “isms”: ignorance and/or indifference. Peace and grace to you on the Fourth of July, Frank.
By beth willis on 07/02/2008 2:06 pm
Diana T
Barbara, That is because they WANT to believe it. And, if you could prove it in any way, shape or fashion, they still wouldn’t vote for him. I don’t know where you are living, but here in Ky. and in the small towns here, there is a bias against people that lived in muslim lands and that are of color. It’s like that hand bump thing that Mrs. Obama gave to Sen. Obama. Such a ridiculous big deal about nothing. By the way, all my friends are doing the hand bump thingie now; much easier than the “give me 5”. I don’t necessarily agree with you on the people that manage news organizations. Most of the networks are owned by corporations and have a vested interest in reporting a certain way and getting certain elected. I am an unusually well informed person because I read and study the issues in depth by doing my own research.
By Diana T on 07/01/2008 9:08 pm
Sherrie Crews
The latest article I read was about people in a small Ohio town who were challenged about whether Obama is Muslim. They are convinced, absolutely convinced that he is…because someone in their town said so.” By Barbara on 07/01/2008 4:05 pm I really think a lot of those people who are claiming they’re not going to vote for him because they believe he’s Muslim are hiding their racism behind the Muslim hot button. It’s a well established fact that Obama was a member of a Christian church for many years. I guess they’d rather appear ignorant than racist.
By Sherrie Crews on 07/02/2008 8:29 am
Maizie James
I think our honesty regarding innate beliefs systems specific to race, religion, political affiliation, gender, and social class will always be subject to legitimate moral debate. Consequently, those of us who think of ourselves as educated, enlightened, or ‘open minded’, are naturally defensive when expressing our often biased, or at least, our subjective opinions, particularly AND especially, if those opinions affect negative responses within a larger context - that is, within the realm of public scrutiny. The truth is that Barack Obama won a majority of Afro American votes precisely because he is black. Race was surely a factor. Yet, many ‘educated’ Afro Americans swore their vote was cast for merit, meaning, that they insisted that they were voting for who they thought was more qualified to be the democratic nominee. Um. I doubt the genuineness of those who believed themselves to be ‘honest’ regarding their choice. Conversely, Obama lost many white votes unequivocally because he is black. The fact is that, except in these types of forums, or in private polls, not many ‘enlightened’ individuals would openly state that they simply would not vote for an Afro American. Similarly, I believe Hilary Clinton lost many male votes specifically because of gender bias, and many women voted for Hilary precisely because she IS a woman. Again, not many individuals who consider themselves to be of high moral integrity, specific to honesty, would openly or deliberately admit such a notion. Consequently, what we have seen, and will continue to see will be a lot of rhetoric about Obama specific to his race/ethnic identity. And when honesty is sabotaged by rhetoric, all types of accusations of unfairness is spun. Therefore, the following is my response to rocky rocky, who wrote: “I don’t see why some just don’t say they won’t vote black. If you can’t admit it in public, I hope you can at least admit it to yourself.” The reason we cannot admit our biases is because these beliefs are entrenched early on, and … the search for inner truth remains man’s most daunting challenge. And the reason we despise prejudice and bias in others is because … “that which we despise in others is what we despise most in ourselves.” (Frankly, I have biases to boot. But, I’d never admit it in public.)
By Maizie James on 07/01/2008 4:11 pm
kermie b
Maizie—sorry, but I know that Afro-American is the wrong description, he is African-American. Afro is a hairstyle.
By kermie b on 07/01/2008 4:30 pm
kermie b
Maizie, I just reread my response to you and not only was it insensitive; it totally ignored your main point. Please accept my apology.
By kermie b on 07/02/2008 1:50 am
Frannie Em
Maizie You are amazing. Such a clear and concise evaluation of the situation. I appreciate the honesty in your post.
By Frannie Em on 07/01/2008 7:26 pm
Maurine H
Maizie - thanks for writing such a thoughful commentary. You’re very wise. I also believe that we fear in others what we most fear in ourselves.
By Maurine H on 07/01/2008 10:50 pm
Frank Peterson
RE acronyms: they are with us and they’re not going away—many have been there since the early days of the Net. STFU came out of the gaming community about 10 years ago—I remember exactly when that one occurred—lol, Imao, roflmao and the rest—earlier. So get used to it—it’s only going to get worse. Here’s one for you: TITUWOP: that is totally useless without pictures lol
By Frank Peterson on 07/01/2008 4:12 pm
kermie b
Frank, I know some folks just love acronyms. I don’t. To me an acronym is tantamount to saying “I mean this, but I will put LOL after it just in case someone takes offense.” I have received too many emails like that. And where is the acronym police? What stops me from just making up my own acronym (MOA)?
By kermie b on 07/01/2008 4:35 pm
Brooklyn Gal
Damn you Ki b! I actually looked MOA up and it has no definition. But I know it means something to you, and now I’m going to be thinking about it until you tell us what it means. This would be a fun topic for Edith Ann. We can play with made up ones over the weekend.
By Brooklyn Gal on 07/01/2008 4:42 pm
Brooklyn Gal
MOA! Must omit acronyms!!
By Brooklyn Gal on 07/01/2008 5:57 pm
Diana T
Thank you, Carol L.; I certainly agree with you. It is rude and inconsiderate. What is the Big Deal about writing words out so we can ALL understand them and be on the same page???
By Diana T on 07/01/2008 9:10 pm
kermie b
Carol L.—I was goofing around, but you proved my point. MOA=My Own Acronym.
By kermie b on 07/02/2008 12:35 am