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A Friend Stopped By | 01/09/2009 9:00 am

A 2009 Presidential Wish List, by Jennifer Openshaw

By Jennifer Openshaw, President & co-founder, WeSeed

Jennifer Openshaw is co-founder and president of WeSeed, a new approach to demystifying the stock market for real everyday people. She’s also the author of The Millionaire Zone You can reach her at jopenshaw@weseed.com.

As we close the books on 2008 and the Bush administration, it’s time to look forward to the Obama presidency for an era of change. This isn’t a political column, so I’m not going to go over the good, the bad and the ugly of the incoming or outgoing president.

Instead, I’m looking forward to real movement in key economic and policy spaces, changes that will give lasting effect to you as an individual and as an investor. So take note because, if some of these changes take place, some very specific companies will likely be impacted:

•Create a win-win situation for the auto industry: The “win-win” idea is a biggie for me, in politics, in business and even in my personal life. Mr. Obama, you seem to subscribe to the win-win idea, too.

And the auto industry is a great place to start. Sure, there have been missteps, and preserving the status quo is probably not an option. But the demise of the auto industry and its manufacturing base would be a huge hit: not only for the unemployment it would cause, but also because the implied failure of America’s manufacturing competence is a total no-go.

If Ford (F) and General Motors (GM), can somehow climb out of the cellar, keep an eye out for their cars in the grocery-store parking lots and car-pool lanes. Maybe the combination of new thinking and patriotic duty will make people want to buy American again.Which means these stocks would be good buys right now, considering how low they are. Sometimes bounce backs can be seen on Main Street before they can be seen on Wall Street.

•Create a win-win situation for distressed homeowners: We can’t stop with the carmakers, that’s clear. No point debating the reasons why so many homeowners are in trouble; instead, we need a solution that shares the blame – and shares the hit – between all parties involved. So plans like the one currently advocated by the FDIC to reduce rates and balances (but keep people in their homes) will help stabilize things, and probably cost banks and investors less than the alternatives.

That means financial institutions like Bank of America (BAC) and home-building stocks like Home Depot (HD) would bounce, too. I know I used to have to wait in long lines at Home Depot, but lately I can just walk right up to any of the open cash registers. This turnaround might take a while, but if the real-estate market does rebound, so should the companies that have suffered from the disaster in the first place. 

•Bring back the “peace dividend”: We’ve almost forgotten how good we had it in the post-Cold War ’90s. Sure, there were still conflicts around the world, but not having to gear up for global thermonuclear war with the Eastern bloc? That was huge. Resources and good capital could be used for other things. We even had a federal budget surplus by the end of the decade.
If the war ends, so does all the “patriotic” spending related to it. That means the defense industry, while not experiencing an outright crash, would see a significant slowdown. We’re looking at you KBR (KBR) and Halliburton (HAL).  

32 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

f p
Reagan was just plain scary to begin with—the man was a disaster as a president. I remember his busting of the air-traffic controllers and that was not pretty at all.
By f p on 01/12/2009 11:14 am
DeBúrca obj
Already they are taking down the union. The “bail out” package given to the Auto Industry has a stipulation in it that the Unions cannot strike under any circumstances or else they lose the bail out money. That is the beginning of busting the union, in fact some could argue that there is no union if they are not able to strike. “DETROIT — The bailout agreement between General Motors Corp. and the federal government includes terms aimed at blocking the United Auto Workers from going on strike while the union negotiates wage and benefit cuts with the auto maker over the next few weeks. The terms are part of the agreement GM and the U.S. Treasury Department hammered out in December. They surfaced late Wednesday in a regulatory filing by GM and surprised union leaders, including President Ron Gettelfinger, people familiar with the matter said. Treasury spokeswoman Brookly McLaughlin said that the no-strike provision was “included as a taxpayer protection” and that it could be waived if the government determines that was appropriate. The chances of a UAW strike are small because both sides are under orders from the government to work quickly to cut costs to help GM get on the path to recovery. The company and the union have until Feb. 17 to negotiate cuts. If they do, GM could be in line for additional loans.” Funny how there were no concessions when we bailed out Wall Street, in fact it sounds like many of those guys walked away with some pretty good packages… why then do the workers have to take the hit here?
By DeBúrca obj on 01/12/2009 11:03 am
mary lou s
deburca, you are so right! look at the new models at the auto show. there’s plenty of hope there.
By mary lou s on 01/12/2009 9:23 am
Diana T
DeB, I will inject a change of subject here. I am on Brookings and just ran across this piece about presidents’ desks. So, which desk do you choose that Obama should use? http://www.brookings.edu/articles/2009/0108_transition_ovaloffice_hess.a…
By Diana T on 01/12/2009 11:38 pm
DeBúrca obj
Great article! I voted for the “Theodore Roosevelt desk”… the clean, basic and roomy design seemed perfect for Obama’s style and height (lot’s of leg room!), and the fact that FDR used it, I think would be important to Obama who is so astute when it comes to historical symbolism, considering the challenges that FDR rose to which are so similar to those of Barack Obama today.
By DeBúrca obj on 01/13/2009 10:38 am
Diana T
I did too, DeB. I thought the very same things, but forgot about the long legs. And, I love its lines. Very elegant, just like him.
By Diana T on 01/13/2009 11:13 am
Sandbee (FB) 54
It seems to me that everyone is making a wish list as if it is Santa Claus coming, not a new President. People be realistic. This didn’t happed overnight. It isn’t going to be fixed that way either, no matter who comes into office. Sorry, didn’t feel funny this time.
By Sandbee (FB) 54 on 01/09/2009 10:46 am
Dab-a- do
It grinds on you “we are still adding health-care jobs”. Can you explain that statement?
By Dab-a- do on 01/09/2009 10:47 am
Ms. Dee
I’m waiting for the whole paradigm to shift. When a corporate plus becomes such an obvious humanitarian minus, some strategic, systemic change needs to take place…both in the way we evaluate “profit” and “investment”. Maybe it starts with taking some of the faith we’ve always placed in the dollar and investing that in the dwindling faith we’ve had in each other. Begin to invest our personal energies in projects that yeild a cumulative advantage for our communities and our nation.
By Ms. Dee on 01/09/2009 10:53 am
Susan B
A “Wish LIst?” Oh lordie. How about a “To Do” list instead?
By Susan B on 01/09/2009 10:54 am
deber B
Ms. Openshaw is definitely promoting the stock market. Even provided a few stock symbols. I think we are very close to a major depression and the last place I would “throw money away” is in the stock market right now. What she doesn’t say is that “cash is king.” The only thing that will save Americans is if they have sufficient cash stashed away for a long rainy season. I know quite a few Baby Boomers who liquidated and put everything they had invested on a money market account. What is frightening is that I don’t think there is a person in the White House who REALLY has a formula for turning our economy around in time. I’m usually an optimist. Lately, I have to be a “realist.”
By deber B on 01/09/2009 11:29 am
deber B
Susan B: The reason no one has a “To Do” list is because no one knows what to do. Buckle your seat belts, America.
By deber B on 01/09/2009 11:30 am
CAROLINE MuLVEY
With my disability I really need the health care system to hurry up and change! Medicare part D really smells awful !! And the wages here in New Jersey for Auto care repair people make less than they should. It is hard to live paycheck to paycheck. We struggle each paycheck, we actually look forward for my disability check just to help us get close to not being a month behind on our bills. It is really sad, I am glad that I was able to work when our children were young. Now that they both have become adults you would think that we would have it a little easier.That is what we thought. Ha Ha Ha on us!!!!!!!!
By CAROLINE MuLVEY on 01/09/2009 1:12 pm
Grande Camper
None of these are easy. I’m not sure we can live in a fairytale land where we all get what we want. I think something got to give.
By Grande Camper on 01/09/2009 6:07 pm
Diana T
I read today that Bush wants to take the remaining bail-out $$$ and use in his administration; no seed money for Obama administration? Also, read somewhere else that $350 Billion of the bailout is unaccounted for? Here is a very good overview of a to-do list for the incoming Obama White House: http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/20081217presidentmemo.pdf From Peterson Institute of International Economics.
By Diana T on 01/09/2009 11:06 pm