Wall Street Weekly | 10/03/2008 10:00 am
5 Things Congress and Voters Don't Understand About the $700B Bailout Plan, by Liz Peek

Bears, Bulls, Chickens and Pigs: wOw’s Wall Street Weekly with Liz Peek (Week of 9/29)
Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist.
Oh, to be Warren Buffett, and have money at the bottom! OK, so I was a little too optimistic last week in thinking we had hit bottom, but then I never for a moment imagined that the loons in Congress wouldn’t pass the rescue package.
We have here a massive failure to communicate by the administration (not for the first time) and an equally impressive reminder of the limitations of Congress. With voters expressing outrage over a perceived $700 billion “bailout” of Wall Street, representatives in contested seats caved, partly because they didn’t understand what they were doing.
Consider Senate majority leader Harry Reid’s ominous warning of "a major insurance company, one with a name that everyone knows, that is on the verge of going bankrupt." That sure helped matters. Suddenly, the large insurance companies, which had been doing OK in the market, sank precipitously, despite managements scrambling to reassure investors that they were, in fact, solvent. Yikes!
Here’s what Congress, and voters, don’t understand. The banks are making no new loans. They still are having to write down mortgage-related assets as home prices sink and they are worried that doing so will further harm their credit ratings. A drop in their credit standing might encourage massive withdrawals from anxious depositors, so they are hoarding cash. At the same time, they are facing rising demands from corporate clients who are unable to sell bonds or to access the commercial paper market. These borrowers pay fees to have lines of credit with the banks, that are contractually committed to meet those demands, but in truth they never anticipate having to do so.
So, this is not about Wall Street. As voters are beginning to discover, it is about your local car dealership being unable to finance inventory, your favorite hairdresser not being able to replace worn equipment and your nephew, the brilliant college grad, not being able to fund a super new business.
This is the result of a locked-up credit market, which began to freeze a year ago and is now all but shut down. The U.S. commercial paper market shrank by $200 billion in the past three weeks – an unheard-of development and truly scary. Another milestone is that the TED spread, (the difference between three-month US treasury rate and the LIBOR rate) which indicates the fear level among bankers, hit 360 basis points yesterday— a record; normally this difference in interest rates averages 50 basis points.























41 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment