Sign in to wowOwow

Enter the email address that you used when registering at wowOwow.
The password field is case sensitive. Click here if you have forgotten your password.

Please register for wowOwow

Newsletter subscriptions
Sign up to receive wowOwow's weekly newsletter and get our best picks delivered right to your inbox. Our newsletter content is hand-picked by the wowOwow editorial team and provides the top features, news, and commentary from our site. Subscribing to our newsletter is free and safe. We will never share your email or other information with a third-party without your direct consent.
By registering, you indicate that you have read and agree
with our privacy policy and terms of service.

Q & A | 06/25/2008 12:00 am

The Coming Boomer Retirement Crisis

By The Staff at wowOwow

Editor’s Note: In this second installment of his wOw interview, Good Guys and Bad Guys, is a collection of his writings, explains why Americans are bad investors, China is scary (but not in the ways you might think it is) and greed is only half good.

wOw: What do you see as the future of retirement?

Nocera: I’m pretty pessimistic about retirement. My essential view is that most people are not good investors, because it requires a kind of emotional, hardwiring — zigging when the crowd is zagging — that most of us lack. And yet, our investing ability is the key to a financially secure retirement, because the society has largely shifted to 401k plans, where we have to choose how we want to invest our retirement fund. My guess is that many, many baby boomers are going to retire without the money they need, and will wind up having to go back to work, or sell beloved assets (the family homestead, for instance), to make ends meet. I think we are headed one of these days for a baby-boomer retirement crisis.

The emphasis on making money can seem soulless in some ways. But the potential is so huge, it is hard not to be optimistic about China's future.

Click here to read Who’s the Top Female CEO in America?

wOw: Medicare is in more financial difficulty than social security. Who is addressing this?

Nocera: Nobody! Like social security, it is a sacred cow that politicians only address when they absolutely have to, and right now they don’t. What’s more, the political impulse to give people more goodies only makes the problem worse. What is the single thing the Bush administration pushed for regarding Medicare? The prescription benefit bill that lowered the cost of medicine for the elderly. That was a great thing for the elderly, but it is enormously expensive for the country and only exacerbates Medicare’s problems.

wOw: Tell us about your recent trip to China.

Nocera: I spent a week in Shanghai and a week in Beijing in early April — and I was completely bowled over. No matter how much you read about the economic boom taking place there, it is still eye-opening. Shanghai has more entrepreneurial energy than any place I’ve ever visited. Beijing is full of Internet companies and major corporations. The domestic economy is growing so fast that it won’t be long before China is no longer so dependent on the export economy. It is a country of very smart business people, both men and women. (Indeed, of the three billionaires I met in China, one was a woman who builds high-rises in Beijing.) China is full of problems, and you see them as well. There is plenty of poverty, pollution, petty corruption, lack of free speech and other democratic freedoms — and even the emphasis on making money can seem soulless in some ways. But the potential is so huge, it is hard not to be optimistic about China’s future.

wOw: Should we fear China as a competitor?

Nocera: We most certainly should fear China as a competitor. The problem is not so much the well-known labor issues — the country’s ability to make things at low cost. Even though that has cost jobs in the United States, the low prices have been a net plus to our society — and in any case, our society has to do a better job of preparing its citizens for jobs that don’t depend on low salaries to create a competitive advantage. We can’t win that battle and we shouldn’t try.

The problem is that China is competing with us for resources. Its companies tend to copy successful American products, and then undercut on price. As it becomes an ever more dominant economy, there is a possibility that the dollar will no longer be the world’s most important currency, which would have devastating consequences for us. And in time, when Chinese companies become a little more mature, and become first-rate marketers — which they are not now — one could easily see them competing with high-end goods instead of only those that rely on low-cost labor.

56 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Frannie Em
Diana T So true, Tom Friedman’s book is eye opening. It is a must read for the 21st century. We can complain all we want, but globalization is here already. There is very little chance of turning back the tide. There will be adjustments, but the climate of competition is propelling the process at an unprecedented rate. (or do I mean race?). I think that at this point in history we are in a total evolution of business, social systems and world politics. Economics is politics.
By Frannie Em on 06/25/2008 12:46 pm
Diana T
You’re right, Frannie. And Economics in history tell us how it drives civilization to move forward again and again. I also think that the climate of competition, as you so well put it, has always been a factor, but that now, everything moves so darned quickly that we are only just realizing that we must learn to keep up. In addition, one thing that is not mentioned here is that it is absolutely incumbent on all the rich and developed nations to figure out a way to bolster the poor, poverty stricken, sick and starving. I very much wish I knew how to drop an article link onto this site because in my Harvard Magazine that I receive on the computer, there is a very timely piece that I read just yesterday. If you can get to Harvardmagazine.com, it would behoove all to read the cover article by Elizabeth Gudrais; “Unequal America: Causes and Consequences of the Wide—And Growing Gap Between Rich and Poor”.
By Diana T on 06/25/2008 1:03 pm
Frannie Em
Diana T. I am trying to get the link right, sometimes it works and other times it doesn’t. But here is the article you were talking about: http://harvardmagazine.com/2008/07/unequal-america.html I hope this helps
By Frannie Em on 06/25/2008 1:43 pm
Diana T
Frannie, Thank you so much!! I hope you read the article. Now…how do I take an article and link it to one of my comments? I have a major white paper that was written back in March ‘04 about the energy crisis and, now it is so very timely because Congress is opening hearings about how these gas prices are being driven by speculators. The title of the article is “Mergers, Manipulation & Mirages: How Oil Companies Keep Gasoline Prices High, & Why the Energy Bill Doesn’t Help”. I tried everything, but simply cannot get it here. Help!
By Diana T on 06/25/2008 1:55 pm
Frannie Em
Diana I have a Mac. I go to the address of the site, or I google search until I find what I want. When it is open, take your pointer to the address line and usually there is a little icon or something and drag the address line onto your desk top, or whatever (I organize and use folders for different types of info). Then I go back and open up wow to where I want to post it,and with wow open, I open the other page from the desktop (so two pages are open) and once again drag the icon and address line to your post. If you have a PC, it may be different — but my 15 year old says it is the same. I used to do it differently, but had problems on this mac and so that way worked.
By Frannie Em on 06/25/2008 2:07 pm
No Way-No How -No McCain
Diana- Here’s the steps I do, see if this works for you: -First I’ve started a post, and now I want to embed a link that has related information. -I go up to my ‘file’ pulldown on my Internet search engine (Safari) and select “New window.” This is because if go directly to the link wanted, then I would lose the wOw page, and though can also hit the arrow key back, it’s safer to work in two pages . -Open the article or whatever it is you want to link to from your post. -Click on the link URL that you want so it’s highlighted. -Go to your ‘edit’ pulldown menu, choose ‘copy’. -Go back to your post that are writing and haven’t yet submitted, position the pointer where you want it, -Then go back to the edit pulldown and choose ‘paste.’ Should work as every other type of computer I’ve used it’s basically the same steps. Hope this helps.
By No Way-No How -No McCain on 06/28/2008 7:43 pm
Frannie Em
Diana PS The ONE organization on line pushes that constantly. Have been a member since the beginning. It is a campaign against world poverty. You probably already know this, but they work tirelessly.
By Frannie Em on 06/25/2008 2:18 pm
Diana T
I will go to that site immediately and check it out. No, I was not aware of it. Thank you, Frannie Em.
By Diana T on 06/25/2008 2:53 pm
phyllis Doyle Pepe
Yes, and yes again, Diana. Globalization is here to stay and it ain’t going away. Judy Woodruff had a long discourse with George Soros re: the financial crisis. They ended their discussion with this from Soros: “So you have to recognize that all of our constructions are imperfect. We have to improve them. But just because something is imperfect, the opposite in not perfect. So because of the failures of socialism, communism, we have come to believe in market fundamentalism, that markets are perfect; everything will be taken care of by markets. And markets are not perfect. And this time we have to recognize that, because we are facing a very serious economic disruption. Now, we should not go back to a very highly regulated economy because the regulators are imperfect. They’re only human and what is worse, they are bureaucratic. So you have to find the right kind of balance between allowing markets to do their work, while recognizing that they are imperfect. You need authorities that keep the market under scrutiny and some degree of control. that’s the message I’m trying to get across.” And back to you Diana, your last sentence says it all: “You will learn that there is nothing new under the sun.” The key word here is finding the right BALANCE. Perhaps that is true for most things?
By phyllis Doyle Pepe on 06/25/2008 1:03 pm
Diana T
I also think that we are moving so quickly in the technical sense, that we have to figure out a way to keep up, Phyllis. You are sooo right about balance in most things. Sure true about romance and rich food..
By Diana T on 06/25/2008 1:07 pm
phyllis Doyle Pepe
But wasn’t it lovely while it lasted?
By phyllis Doyle Pepe on 06/25/2008 1:09 pm
Diana T
Yes it was. But, I’m sure my grandmother would have thought the same thing. I mean I remember when she realized that the days of the telephone operator were over and she was actually going to have to learn to dial a phone.
By Diana T on 06/25/2008 1:24 pm
Frannie Em
Phyllis I agree about regulators, there are too many complications that arise because of how large and varied our population is, as well as the size of our economy, but there has to be some kind of watch dog. Outside auditors, outside ethics organizations that have some kind of oversight, because we stand to lose our freedom by over legislation, it has already happened. I am no libertarian, they live too far on the edge for me, no regulation, etc., but there is so much greed, it must be tempered.
By Frannie Em on 06/25/2008 1:50 pm
K O
Beautifully stated, Phyllis.
By K O on 06/25/2008 1:33 pm
No Way-No How -No McCain
Diana T—-I agree with you, except personally wouldn’t give billionaire Thomas Friedman a cent after he used his NYT column to cheerlead for the Iraq war while also dissing his wife for being against it. He has written some columns I was happy to read, like traveling to China with the CEO of Intel for their science prizes awards and highlighting dramatic difference between China’s churning out of new scientists, compared to America’s poor performance. I buy locally as much as possible to sustain local economies, small business, independent bookstores, credit unions not big banks, and to not encourage transportation, and nothing from large corporations, no large outlets (no WalMart, etc). I move towards as much ‘off the grid’ as possible. The issue isn’t global trade but that many US multinationals are not responsible (to be polite). Am a fan of World Social Forums (which are a response to the World Economic Forum—but I like that too) And speaking of the Silk Trade Route…you’ve probably heard of Yo-Yo-Ma’s long time “Silk Trade Route” Project “…to study the ebb and flow of ideas.” http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4677936 The global I’m interested in are things that help like, http://www.globalgirlfriend.com/gifts/site.do?siteId=344 (although personally is not in my style…still great idea) But I can find some things in “Peruvian Collection” http://www.peruvianconnection.com/ admire the idea of a US mother and daughter who went to Peru, saw the lovely sweaters being made and started an industry there that helped the people and expanded into their own enormous success. Here’s the Forum for Responsible Globalization, FYI: http://www.global-economic-and-social-forum.com/ Thank’s for the great post. Well, there are a few things new under the sun….Apple laptops and WiFi…how’d we ever live without…take everything but that!
By No Way-No How -No McCain on 06/28/2008 4:39 am