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The Greatest Depression | 12/08/2008 8:30 am

Four Financial Horsewomen Who Warned of the Apocalypse

How Sheila Bair, Brooksley Born, Meredith Whitney and a pseudonymous blogger named Tanta tried to warn the Big Boyz that economic doom was on the way
By Deborah Barrow, Editor-in-Chief
Horsewoman #2: Sheila Bair, chairman of the FDIC

What she said: Back in 2007, seeing that the escalating number of home foreclosures threatened the entire banking system, Bair called for Ben Bernanke’s Fed to require banks to tighten lending standards and to convert their adjustable-rate sub-prime mortgages into traditional fixed-rate mortgages. This fall, Bair criticized Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s $700 billion bailout plan in a Wall Street Journal interview, suggesting that more of the money be earmarked for struggling homeowners rather than banks. "Why there’s been such a political focus on making sure we’re not unduly helping borrowers but then we’re providing all this massive assistance at the institutional level, I don’t understand it. It’s been a frustration for me."

Who is trying to screw her: Her tendency to speak truth to power has provoked the New York Fed Chair Timothy Geithner, Obama’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, who according to a story on Bloomberg.com last week, is maneuvering to force her to resign before her 2011 term is over.

The result: The Fed ignored her 2007 call to tighten lending standards until 2008, and has just in the last weeks finally proposed banks convert toxic mortgages to more traditional fixed-rate ones. So far, the popular Bair is hanging tough, with both Democrats in Congress and journalists singing her praises as an independently minded regulator, and she still speaks out about moving more of the Paulson Plan’s $700 billion away from Wall Street and toward Main Street.

Quote to set your teeth on edge: “I think part of the problem now, to be honest, is Sheila Bair has annoyed the ‘old boys’ club. To some extent, bank regulation and mortgage foreclosure have made a situation where we have several regulators up in the tree house with a ‘no girls allowed’ sign — and it’s aimed at Sheila Bair — who’s been really good.” —Congressman Barney Frank to Bloomberg.com


Horsewoman #3: Meredith Whitney, Managing Director and Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co.

What she said: On Halloween 2007, she became the first analyst to call out Citibank on their toxic mortgage derivatives, claiming that the bank was under-capitalized and would be forced to cut its dividend. She downgraded its stock to "market underperform," setting off a firestorm.

Who tried to screw her: She received death threats in the days after her Citibank call, and thousands of hate e-mails.

The result: While Citi declined to specifically comment on Whitney’s analysis, four days later, Citibank’s CEO Chuck Prince resigned. The bank maintained that it could rebuild its capital ratio by the middle of 2008 without a dividend cut. In late November 2008, Citibank was the latest bank to seek a government bailout, the terms of which slashed its dividend to a penny a share. The stock price slid from $41.90 on 10/31/07 to $7.40 on 12/5/08. As a result, Whitney has been hailed as the most prescient and influential financial analyst to emerge in the meltdown.

Quote to set your teeth on edge: Thomas Brown, blogger, BankStocks.com, called Whitney "incredibly arrogant" and in his August 2008 post states: "Every cycle there’s one analyst who races to be the most bearish, and this time it’s her. Honestly, I think we’ll look back and see that Meredith Whitney’s credibility peaked on July 15 (2008)," a date he believed "financials had made their bottom." Two months later, Lehman Brothers collapsed, and the current financial emergency was on.

63 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Diana T
Ah, well, do they ever listen to us? I used to say to Bill, “How many times did I tell you?” Reminds me of this Holiday saying that you can get on plaques: The Three Wise Women: They would have Asked Directions Arrived on time to help deliver the baby. And…they would have cleaned the stable.
By Diana T on 12/08/2008 9:30 am
phyllis Doyle Pepe
Diana: your guy and mine, Richard Holbrook, has come out with his book, “The Doves Were Right”–––it’s right up our alley.
By phyllis Doyle Pepe on 12/08/2008 10:13 am
Diana T
Thank you so much, Phyllis! I did not know he had a new book. I will look for it immediately. That means he will probably be on Charlie Rose to promote it…
By Diana T on 12/08/2008 10:55 am
f p
Thanks Phyllis—need to get that one.
By f p on 12/08/2008 5:38 pm
Dutch 163
thanks for the info I am a fan of Richard Holbrooke too
By Dutch 163 on 12/09/2008 6:30 am
HA BIBI
One more time and reason, that perhaps women be given the opportunity to run this country. Women have been running the financial end of homes and buisness’ for quite some time. We are masters of finance, banking and balancing a checkbook. It’s such an apparent shame that once again, the voice of reason is overlooked and financial disasters such as the likes of sub prime mortgages, alongside a lack of Governmental oversight, was indeed a sunami waiting to happen.
By HA BIBI on 12/08/2008 9:39 am
James the Game
You could coach the 0-13 Detroit Lions better than the men have been, Elaine.
By James the Game on 12/08/2008 3:51 pm
HA BIBI
Hey my friend, Where’s the compliment in that? LOL. Ha! If I coached your Saints they’d be the winningest team in Pro ball. I saw my boys whup your boys, I could say I was sorry but then if they are playing against my Vikes I can’t possibly root for them. :(
By HA BIBI on 12/08/2008 4:46 pm
James the Game
To be honest, the Vikes were a bit lucky. The refs ruled Calvin Johnson trapped the ball on that one catch, when the replays clearly showed he did not. Even the TV commentators said so. That took away a vital Lions first down. But just as well, as we Michiganders wants the Lions to go 0-16, and owner William Clay Ford to turn the reins of the team over to his son, Bill Ford Jr. Speaking of Ford Jr., did you notice how he’s got Ford doing reasonably well financially, compared to Chrysler and G.M.? Ford CEO Allan Mulalley told Congress last week that Ford doesn’t urgently need the bailout money, so much as a line of credit in case GM goes belly-up.
By James the Game on 12/08/2008 7:00 pm
Suzanne Frazier
Oops here we go again. Men talking football, sports. A fine example why we are in all this financial mess. Lack of concentration. I thought this section was about our present financial concerns and what we are doing about it. When did football sneak in? Oh that’s right. James wrote something.
By Suzanne Frazier on 12/08/2008 7:10 pm
James the Game
Lighten up, Suzanne.
By James the Game on 12/08/2008 8:38 pm
HA BIBI
You know james, I thought the very same thing and that being that if the Lions go 0-16, they may have the grounds at that point, to bring in the talent that would provide a non repeat of this season. I’m glad that Ford is doing the better of the big 3, after all my new SUV is the highly fuel efficient decked out Ford escape, LOL :)
By HA BIBI on 12/08/2008 7:31 pm
Susan B
Happy Monday, James. I’m off-topic for this thread — well, not completely off-topic — but I wondered if you caught this discussion today on NPR’s Talk of the Nation. It’s about the US auto industry … As I was listening, I thought of you. www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=97960766
By Susan B on 12/08/2008 5:08 pm
James the Game
Thanks, Susan. Some informative material. It appears that a $15 billion stop-gap bailout will be approved this week, eh?
By James the Game on 12/08/2008 6:47 pm
Susan B
Elaine, don’t forget our famous gut instincts. I’m no financial expert, but I knew there’d be a terrible day of reckoning when anyone who could sign their name, could buy a house. I kept saying to myself, this is going to end badly …
By Susan B on 12/08/2008 5:00 pm