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Wall Street Weekly | 02/20/2009 9:38 am

Liz Peek: Stock Market Gives Obama’s First Month An 'F'

By Liz Peek
© AP

Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist and the author of wOw’s Wall Street Weekly and SHEconomics.  

Today marks the one-month anniversary of President Obama’s inauguration. In his brief time in office, the president has overseen three massive new spending initiatives — the $787 billion stimulus bill, the trillion-dollar financial stability initiative and, most recently, the $275 billion mortgage assistance program.

That’s a lot of activity, and a ton of money, but so far the reaction to the new administration’s programs has been decidedly negative. Investors, among others, have panned the plans; the stock market is off nearly 10% from the day before the inauguration, or more than 800 points on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Yesterday, in fact, we crossed a truly alarming divide. The Dow Jones average closed at its lowest point since October 2002, the bottom of the last bear market. The S&P 500 fell to 779, barely above the intra-day low of 741 of last November. For many market analysts, if the market crashes through that recent benchmark, it will next move significantly lower. Ouch.

What is going to turn this beast around, and what should the president do? First of all, let’s dispense with the antiquated notion that only rich people own stocks, and that the market’s ups and downs are unimportant. Almost everyone has a stake in our financial markets, either through owning stocks and bonds directly or through pension plans. Even the neediest Americans who are fed or clothed by charities are hurt when those organizations’ endowments crater or donations dry up.

Clearly, it is way too early for any of the new stabilization and stimulus programs to have taken effect. Why then is the consensus so pessimistic? Certainly the political wrangling of the past month has dispelled optimism that President Obama can change the contentious nature of American politics. Both Democrats and Republicans have spurned Obama’s leadership. The free-for-all over the stimulus bill portrayed Congress in the worst possible light — no surprise there — and led Americans to view not only the process but the bill with utter skepticism. Delivering a 1000-page bill to our legislators just two hours before the signing deadline (and then going on a long-weekend holiday before signing it) was outrageous. The mortgage relief plan hasn’t been received much better. Most Americans (ninety two percent, by some estimates) pay their mortgages on time; they’re darned if they know why they should bail out their neighbors.

At the same time, Obama’s own administration seems sharply divided between pragmatists and ideologues. For instance, one camp is pushing for protectionist measures while the other recognizes the dire consequences that "Buy American" provisions might deliver.

1004 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

caj p
How can you give an F on something that has not even had any kind of chance to show any sign of anything yet!!   What a stupid analysis to come up with and expect things to turn around like yesterday…this woman needs to get a real job and stop making such ridiculous statements so soon into a crisis.  I did make a prediction myself saying that when Obama was made President on the 20th Jan all those negative folks would be expecting the whole country to be put completely right by the 21st!!!
By caj p on 02/20/2009 11:54 am
Diana T

CAJ,

Thank you!  This is only just starting; indeed all the facets of recovery and reform aren’t even in place yet!  And, of course the stock market is going to reflect that for a host of reasons….

I am sick and tired of the mental attitude that everything has to be fixed in an instant!  We are in the 21st century using economic models from the 20th century, and we are going to have to update, cure what damage has taken place, and completely reformulate many systems.  And, guess what!  It’s going to cost us!  Gee whiz, we are actually going to have to pay for something if we are to maintain our position in the world.  This is just not an American Crisis—it’s an International one and we are the Epi-Center!

It may take the better part of a decade to fix, and I, am for one, sick and tired of naysayers.

By Diana T on 02/20/2009 12:05 pm
DeBúrca obj

Have you seen this Diana:

"GOP Fighting For Money from Stimulus They Opposed" 

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/02/18/gop-fighting-for-money-fr_n_167…

excerpt: "Republicans will be working hard to make sure the money they opposed ends up benefiting their home districts, highlighting the political tightrope they walk in this economic crisis. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is watching House Republicans — and reading local media — closely and is only too happy to highlight any happy talk about a stimulus Republicans voted against…. " 

By DeBúrca obj on 02/20/2009 12:48 pm
rocky rocky
DeB — If they’re so sure that the Stimulus money (and the debt it represents) is destructive to our economy, our country, and future generations, then why do they have their hands out? Is there a word for someone who professes belief in an idea but is willing to dump it at the first sight of green? 
By rocky rocky on 02/20/2009 4:27 pm
James the Game
That sums it up pretty well, Rock. Liz Peek’s obviously another rich Republican who’s forgotten about what Bush did to the economy
By James the Game on 02/21/2009 11:20 am
Bil Boetticher

Seems to me that a lot of people have forgotten what the Democrats have also done to our economy. Does everyone have horse blinders on during Fannie and Freddies Fiasko. I am not rich but I am in good shape because I dont attempt to purchase beyond my means. Yes I am a Republican and I think Bush did a crappy job in various areas. However; he was not the fix all to our every problem just like Obama is not. It’s the American peoples responsibility to grow up and stop buying what they really cant afford.

Why should we save the Banks for all legitimate foreclosures? All of these people that couldn’t work the math when they applied for the loan dont deserve help from us, only the banks can make it right and eat their losses. can you say greed?

 

By Bil Boetticher on 02/21/2009 1:01 pm
James the Game

U.S. Sen. Carl Levin remembers, Bill. I interviewed him Thursday in Lansing. He blamed II-Bush - and rightfully so - for a majority of the mess we’re in. But he also said Clinton was wrong about NAFTA, something Levin did not support. We rushed into these trade agreements without adequate protections built-in, and now the chickens have come home to roost.

Hindsight is always 20/20, regardless. I’m not in favor of supporting all of the banks, by any means. But it’s too complicted to figure out who all the bad/good guys are, hence the theory that we’d better do something to stimulate the economy.

By James the Game on 02/21/2009 2:55 pm
rocky rocky

Ciao, Giacomo. Imagine a very old Sicilian lady, white hair and barely able to stand straight, delivering to you the lightest, tastiest, most succulent veggie lasagna you’ve ever eaten in your life. As she hands it to you, she says: Mange! Best, Rocky

By rocky rocky on 02/21/2009 3:07 pm
James the Game
Rock, I don’t get that one. Ha! But lasagna sounds good
By James the Game on 02/21/2009 6:18 pm
rocky rocky
Must be the refrigerator in your photo. Makes me think of food. And it was so nice to get a friendly reply for a change … must of lost my mind for a moment. Giacomo = James. Bent, white-haired Sicilian nona (grandma) is me!
By rocky rocky on 02/21/2009 7:02 pm
James the Game
Italian’s my fave!
By James the Game on 02/21/2009 8:16 pm
Julie Smith

Don’t worry, I doubt much money will go the Republicans.   Especially we might have to use some of the ‘crap-sandwich’ money to bailout Obama’s presidential campaign, which still owe Chicago 1.7 millions (http://www.suntimes.com/news/politics/obama/1441157,CST-NWS-rally20.article)  and Philadelphia $24K (http://michellemalkin.com/2009/02/20/philly-to-obama-hey-you-owe-us-money-too/LOL

By Julie Smith on 02/20/2009 5:03 pm
Libra Lady
Julie…you got that right…Chicago needs to be reimbursed for 1.7 mill. and PA….but they probably have that hidden in the "Sucker Package" somewhere so it will be paid from that….Just Sayin’!
By Libra Lady on 02/21/2009 8:27 am
freda rogers

emm I’m not sure how this forum works!!!  how do I know what  new topic is introduced?  How do I follow you?  I think this thread is about done and i dont want to lose you!  Please

let me know

Freda

By freda rogers on 02/23/2009 6:38 pm
Libra Lady
freda…top right…. there is a drop down list of of topics…just click on them…or click on Home in the headline (upper left)…click on any of the topics you want to go to…child care got very hot today and many deletes…including mine….I think wow ‘s ten commandments violations are a little one sided….so don’t really don’t know how to post anymore…I guess you can bash Pres. Bush and Gov. Palin and say whatever you want, but don’t you dare touch bo and mo….so watch your posts…hope to see you out there…just reply to one of my post and I will find you….
By Libra Lady on 02/23/2009 8:00 pm