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Wall Street Weekly | 02/20/2009 9:38 am

Liz Peek: Stock Market Gives Obama’s First Month An 'F'

By Liz Peek
© AP

Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist and the author of wOw’s Wall Street Weekly and SHEconomics.  

Today marks the one-month anniversary of President Obama’s inauguration. In his brief time in office, the president has overseen three massive new spending initiatives — the $787 billion stimulus bill, the trillion-dollar financial stability initiative and, most recently, the $275 billion mortgage assistance program.

That’s a lot of activity, and a ton of money, but so far the reaction to the new administration’s programs has been decidedly negative. Investors, among others, have panned the plans; the stock market is off nearly 10% from the day before the inauguration, or more than 800 points on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Yesterday, in fact, we crossed a truly alarming divide. The Dow Jones average closed at its lowest point since October 2002, the bottom of the last bear market. The S&P 500 fell to 779, barely above the intra-day low of 741 of last November. For many market analysts, if the market crashes through that recent benchmark, it will next move significantly lower. Ouch.

What is going to turn this beast around, and what should the president do? First of all, let’s dispense with the antiquated notion that only rich people own stocks, and that the market’s ups and downs are unimportant. Almost everyone has a stake in our financial markets, either through owning stocks and bonds directly or through pension plans. Even the neediest Americans who are fed or clothed by charities are hurt when those organizations’ endowments crater or donations dry up.

Clearly, it is way too early for any of the new stabilization and stimulus programs to have taken effect. Why then is the consensus so pessimistic? Certainly the political wrangling of the past month has dispelled optimism that President Obama can change the contentious nature of American politics. Both Democrats and Republicans have spurned Obama’s leadership. The free-for-all over the stimulus bill portrayed Congress in the worst possible light — no surprise there — and led Americans to view not only the process but the bill with utter skepticism. Delivering a 1000-page bill to our legislators just two hours before the signing deadline (and then going on a long-weekend holiday before signing it) was outrageous. The mortgage relief plan hasn’t been received much better. Most Americans (ninety two percent, by some estimates) pay their mortgages on time; they’re darned if they know why they should bail out their neighbors.

At the same time, Obama’s own administration seems sharply divided between pragmatists and ideologues. For instance, one camp is pushing for protectionist measures while the other recognizes the dire consequences that "Buy American" provisions might deliver.

1004 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

DeBúrca obj
… is twisted logic.
By DeBúrca obj on 02/22/2009 2:19 pm
Fly O. T. Wall

Great job on this wonderfully ironic reply!

It’s the best I’ve seen on this site.

By Fly O. T. Wall on 02/23/2009 11:11 am
tom romano

the market started going south when investors saw the liberal dem candiate was likely going to win the white house with control of congress.  This mess is because of dem congress policies on the banking industry with investors pulling out of an unfriendly buisness enviorment with liberal politicans running the show.

 you can blame Bush all you want but investors didn’t bail out on W.

By tom romano on 02/20/2009 2:02 pm
Diana T
Well, of course they didn’t bail on Bush.  Making too much $$$ with his policies…
By Diana T on 02/20/2009 2:16 pm
Keith Emery
Uhhhm, what’s wrong with making money? You all seem to think it is fine when you are taking it from the productuve to give to the unproductive.
By Keith Emery on 02/20/2009 7:53 pm
Diana T
Sorry, you don’t get the point and arguing with you would be futile.
By Diana T on 02/20/2009 8:00 pm
Keith Emery

Well actually I do understand the point you want to make but you haven’t really made it. You want people to believe that corrupt Wall Street Republicans made money hand over fist by double dealing with the Bush administration. The problem is, you haven’t shown that to be true. And you would probably have a tough time doing so because a large number of Wall Street types are democrats. See the links below.

http://www.opensecrets.org/industries/indus.php?ind=F2700

http://www.opensecrets.org/industries/indus.php?ind=F03

http://www.opensecrets.org/industries/indus.php?ind=F07++&goButt2.x=7&goButt2.y=7

http://www.opensecrets.org/industries/indus.php?ind=F2600&goButt2.x=6&goButt2.y=7

By Keith Emery on 02/20/2009 10:52 pm
Diana T
I suspect you are new to this site, but I have been here from the beginning, so I have dropped many links in these threads. 
By Diana T on 02/20/2009 11:03 pm
Frannie Em
tom, sorry, it wasn’t just liberal politicians.  They are all in it together, some more than others.  They all get money for their projects.  They all court special interests and vice versa.  They all want to get re-elected so they want to take goodies to their constituents.  It is rampant and hopefully this financial crisis will level the playing field.  If one side is good, so it the other, if one side is evil, so is the other.  Each side has different ideas, but they both use the same methods to get them.
By Frannie Em on 02/20/2009 11:24 pm
phyllis Doyle Pepe
I just had a delicious dinner, my husband did the dishes, I’ve got my coffee here and then–––THEN–-I read this. Like Diana and Caj, I am sick and tired of this kind of assessment. Obama should come off the campaign trail? Come on, Liz, that’s a damn cheap shot! I would say at this point in our country’s situation, it would be correct to argue that most Americans––congressional Republicans and broadcasters such as Rush notwithstanding––seem ready to move past the thirty years of conservative domination that resulted from increasing distrust of government. The dismal failure of deregulated financial markets has now–––just as in the 1930’s––forced upon the US the most fundamental and costly sorts of public intervention in markets. We now have to hope that Obama and the Democrats can restore America’s basic financial  health. For the time being that means concentrating on government’s ability to save Wall Street and restore credit, and then to begin rebuilding the devastation WALL STREET’S FAILURE has left behind. The challenge of creating a new era for government as long term guarantor of our security and well-being lies ahead and until the sky falls I suggest some of us keep our mouths shut and fingers crossed.
By phyllis Doyle Pepe on 02/20/2009 5:37 pm
Diana T

Phyllis, I think what people don’t get is A. this is a global crisis, and the G7 has agreed that they have to do what is necessary in their countries with banking reform and economic stimulus, and B.  this is set up as a partnership between the states, the towns and the Federal Government.  The epicenter of the crisis is here in the good ol’ USA, and we got to get the ball rolling.

But, unfortunately, as you can see in many of these posts, a lot of folks are not capable of thinking anyway except locally, and are incapable of thinking of anything except Taking Obama Down and Making Him Look Foolish and Like a Failure.  Well, we have two ways to go with this: up or down, and I think it’s a shame that people don’t put any more thought into it than they do.

 

By Diana T on 02/20/2009 6:18 pm
Diana T

Phyllis, I forgot to say a p.s.

You’ve got a sweet husband :-)

By Diana T on 02/20/2009 6:19 pm
Frannie Em

Diana

I pay for a lot.  I donate when there are local or international crisis, and I don’t forget to donate more when it is needed.  I pay lots of taxes, and soon, as a resident of Calif, I will pay more.  Sales tax is going up out here to 9.25%.  for a $10.00 item, I will pay $10.93.  Crazy.  There are also thinking about taxing things that they didn’t tax before like veterinary services.  Calif has over 10% of the population of the nation.  Last year we had a net loss in our state which is very unusual, many businesses are moving to other states to do business cheaper, all of this will have a great impact on us and everyone, we won’t be able to help the people that are already here and need it.  Last year our state legislature voted in a pay hike for state employees, Some of them got a 27% hike in pay, and then the state started heading towards deficit.  There are definitely other causes than that, but I don’t know how much more we can pay.

I have paid my mortgage, my car payments, all the overhead on my business, I donate money, I donate food, I donate clothing, and when we don’t have work, we have used our savings while we pay our employees.  I contribute a lot and keep on doing it. 

By Frannie Em on 02/20/2009 8:05 pm
Marjorie C.

caj:  …ridiculous statements so soon into a crisis…

It appears Liz is trying to cut Obama some slack in this statement:  We all get that he inherited this mess, but as a candidate he had a lot of answers on how he would manage the clean-up; it’s time to get on with it. He needs to push his initiatives forward as quickly as possible,…

She is simply saying, Obama had many solutions during the campaign, it’s time he put some of them at work and push them through. 

By Marjorie C. on 02/20/2009 12:19 pm
caj p
She may be simply saying , but she sure is saying it should be done like yesterday and no matter what he said during the campaign it will not take affect right away anyway.  What happened to giving someone a chance to take a breath before the walls start tumbling down?
By caj p on 02/20/2009 12:56 pm