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Wall Street Weekly | 02/20/2009 9:38 am

Liz Peek: Stock Market Gives Obama’s First Month An 'F'

By Liz Peek
© AP

Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist and the author of wOw’s Wall Street Weekly and SHEconomics.  

Today marks the one-month anniversary of President Obama’s inauguration. In his brief time in office, the president has overseen three massive new spending initiatives — the $787 billion stimulus bill, the trillion-dollar financial stability initiative and, most recently, the $275 billion mortgage assistance program.

That’s a lot of activity, and a ton of money, but so far the reaction to the new administration’s programs has been decidedly negative. Investors, among others, have panned the plans; the stock market is off nearly 10% from the day before the inauguration, or more than 800 points on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Yesterday, in fact, we crossed a truly alarming divide. The Dow Jones average closed at its lowest point since October 2002, the bottom of the last bear market. The S&P 500 fell to 779, barely above the intra-day low of 741 of last November. For many market analysts, if the market crashes through that recent benchmark, it will next move significantly lower. Ouch.

What is going to turn this beast around, and what should the president do? First of all, let’s dispense with the antiquated notion that only rich people own stocks, and that the market’s ups and downs are unimportant. Almost everyone has a stake in our financial markets, either through owning stocks and bonds directly or through pension plans. Even the neediest Americans who are fed or clothed by charities are hurt when those organizations’ endowments crater or donations dry up.

Clearly, it is way too early for any of the new stabilization and stimulus programs to have taken effect. Why then is the consensus so pessimistic? Certainly the political wrangling of the past month has dispelled optimism that President Obama can change the contentious nature of American politics. Both Democrats and Republicans have spurned Obama’s leadership. The free-for-all over the stimulus bill portrayed Congress in the worst possible light — no surprise there — and led Americans to view not only the process but the bill with utter skepticism. Delivering a 1000-page bill to our legislators just two hours before the signing deadline (and then going on a long-weekend holiday before signing it) was outrageous. The mortgage relief plan hasn’t been received much better. Most Americans (ninety two percent, by some estimates) pay their mortgages on time; they’re darned if they know why they should bail out their neighbors.

At the same time, Obama’s own administration seems sharply divided between pragmatists and ideologues. For instance, one camp is pushing for protectionist measures while the other recognizes the dire consequences that "Buy American" provisions might deliver.

1004 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Keith Emery
Sorry Marjorie C. you are showing too much tolerance. You need to be outraged.
By Keith Emery on 02/20/2009 7:56 pm
Libra Lady
Keith…WELCOME…enjoyed your posts…I just started to read today and it’s nice to see some more posters on here that "just get it"!!  Thank you.
By Libra Lady on 02/21/2009 8:50 am
Steve Douglass
I guess, once again, we have to explain to people that don’t pay attention. The stock market is a LEADING indicator. That means it is looking forward. It doesn’t matter what happened in the past. It is looking at the present and future. The market is saying that Nobama’s policies are BAD for the economy. Hmmmm….wonder where we’ve heard that before?
By Steve Douglass on 02/20/2009 12:22 pm
C jay

and, Steve, you’d take "stock" in anything coming from Wall Street" today? Gawoon… the nation’s top experts don’t any more. Besides, this is no longer a fascist administation that ramrods "legislation" through, much less alters our Constitutional rights to meet their goals. We are back in a democracy, and change takes time.

 

By C jay on 02/20/2009 1:41 pm
Mike Lanzer

Cjay,

"This is no longer a fascist administration that ramrods ‘legislation’ through…"  I do hope this was a joke on your part.  The final stimulus bill was presented to the congress as a whole less than 12 hours before they were to vote on it (this after the bill was changed).  It is not humanly possible for someone to read 1000 pages of legislation during that time period and understand what is in this bill.  Instead of delaying the vote however, it was imperative for this bill to be signed otherwise the world was going to end (or at least that was the impression that Obama led everyone to believe).  So the bill was signed.  Hmmm… to me that seems like ramrodding legislation through.  Besides I thought Obama promised a five day waiting period so the public would be able to scrutinize the legislation.  I guess that doesn’t apply in this case.

One more thing, I have never read of any famous and successful leader (political, sports, religious etc.) which led be fear and negativity.  All the successful leaders I have read about have led through inspiration and a we can do it attitude.  I saw this when Obama was on the campaign trail, however since then he appears to have dropped the ball. 

By Mike Lanzer on 02/20/2009 7:52 pm
Keith Emery

Silly Mike, haven’t you realized that EVERYTHING Obama says has an expiration date.

For example, "My administration will be free of lobbyists." That statement expired on election night.

I will close Gitmo-expires in a year when he can safely say "uh, uh, uh the situation has uh, uh, uh changed."

"I will not use wiretaps to investigate threats"-expired last month after it was deemed to be in line with FISA.

"I will have the most ethical administration". Well at least as ethical as an adminstration of Chicago thugs and tax cheats can be.

Every promise he made has an expiration date. Get used to it. And even if it didn’t he won’t be held to any standard. Standards are for Republicans. All that matters with liberals and democrats is intent. Doesn’t matter how bad they screw things up, all that matters is that they care.

By Keith Emery on 02/20/2009 8:03 pm
S.J. Morgan

Thank you Steve..they just do not get it!

She is ABSOLUTLEY right no matter what they say!  We will NEVER begin to climb out of this mess unless there is CONFIDENCE in the plan and the potential outcome!

Campaigning is much easier than LEADING! …..

now is his time to LEAD, FOLLOW or get out of the way! 

By S.J. Morgan on 02/20/2009 1:54 pm
Frannie Em

S J

But do you really think there would be any confidence in any plan at this time?  Not just a lack of confidence about the plan, but, after everything that has happened with the Iraq war, the repub and dem scandals, the greed on wall street, the finance committees not managing the mortgage situation, etc.,  we have lost what little faith we have had in politicians. Everyone is nervous and wants action, they believe this is action.  I don’t know.  One of the reasons that Obama was elected is because he has the ability to exhibit strength of conviction.  I hope his convictions reap results, we shall see.

By Frannie Em on 02/20/2009 8:24 pm
Bryan Bastian
It is bizarre to me to see someone so clearly cheering for one side, or for that matter, either side.  One would have to be ignorant to not realize that almost every politician is full of crap.  It is the nature of our political system to produce cheats and liars on both sides.  One must admit that fact before trying to prove any other.
By Bryan Bastian on 02/20/2009 2:13 pm
A Amedee
Why don’t you come up with a better plan for the future. It is always easy to seat back and comment when you are not seeing things as they are. I am certain you cannot fill Mr. Obama’s shoes. So take a back seat and watch for a year from now and then you can talk.
By A Amedee on 02/20/2009 6:27 pm
HA BIBI

Steve,

Exactly, that is the way I read it also. I appreciate Liz’s keen eye for all things market!  

By HA BIBI on 02/20/2009 7:50 pm
Libra Lady
Elaine….Keen eye…you are so right there…and now they want to say "Liz…off with your head"!!!  They "Can’t Handle the Truth"….lol
By Libra Lady on 02/21/2009 9:58 am
caj p
How can they possibly know that his policy is bad for the economy…it has not had chance to show anything yet!!!   I guess they must all read tea leaves like the folks on the right….impatience must be the order of the day now that Obama is in power!!!  Gosh, he’s had a whole month to fix the economy…what has he been doing!!!
By caj p on 02/21/2009 9:08 pm
Carol Miller
Remember when stocks jumped immediately after Bush came into office and when he was re-elected?
By Carol Miller on 02/25/2009 1:46 pm
Rose ~~

I give LIZ PEEK AN F for being married to a Wall Street Banker and as a "financial columnist" was too dumb to call Black Friday in October for what it was when bloggers DID. Who cares what she thinks? She is a Republican livinging in a Upper East Side manse and the Republicans are who caused this meltdown.

All she is doing is trying to be controversail to boost hits. And the jokes on Wow with their sleazy tactics. All the smart women who were here are now in their own anti-Wow closed FaceBook group. And you are left with a board that is being taken over with toothless idiots.

 

Good luck with the advert $$$. Not! Sleazy gets what sleazy deserves. 

 

 

By Rose ~~ on 02/20/2009 12:40 pm