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Wall Street Weekly | 02/20/2009 9:38 am

Liz Peek: Stock Market Gives Obama’s First Month An 'F'

By Liz Peek
© AP

Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist and the author of wOw’s Wall Street Weekly and SHEconomics.  

Today marks the one-month anniversary of President Obama’s inauguration. In his brief time in office, the president has overseen three massive new spending initiatives — the $787 billion stimulus bill, the trillion-dollar financial stability initiative and, most recently, the $275 billion mortgage assistance program.

That’s a lot of activity, and a ton of money, but so far the reaction to the new administration’s programs has been decidedly negative. Investors, among others, have panned the plans; the stock market is off nearly 10% from the day before the inauguration, or more than 800 points on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Yesterday, in fact, we crossed a truly alarming divide. The Dow Jones average closed at its lowest point since October 2002, the bottom of the last bear market. The S&P 500 fell to 779, barely above the intra-day low of 741 of last November. For many market analysts, if the market crashes through that recent benchmark, it will next move significantly lower. Ouch.

What is going to turn this beast around, and what should the president do? First of all, let’s dispense with the antiquated notion that only rich people own stocks, and that the market’s ups and downs are unimportant. Almost everyone has a stake in our financial markets, either through owning stocks and bonds directly or through pension plans. Even the neediest Americans who are fed or clothed by charities are hurt when those organizations’ endowments crater or donations dry up.

Clearly, it is way too early for any of the new stabilization and stimulus programs to have taken effect. Why then is the consensus so pessimistic? Certainly the political wrangling of the past month has dispelled optimism that President Obama can change the contentious nature of American politics. Both Democrats and Republicans have spurned Obama’s leadership. The free-for-all over the stimulus bill portrayed Congress in the worst possible light — no surprise there — and led Americans to view not only the process but the bill with utter skepticism. Delivering a 1000-page bill to our legislators just two hours before the signing deadline (and then going on a long-weekend holiday before signing it) was outrageous. The mortgage relief plan hasn’t been received much better. Most Americans (ninety two percent, by some estimates) pay their mortgages on time; they’re darned if they know why they should bail out their neighbors.

At the same time, Obama’s own administration seems sharply divided between pragmatists and ideologues. For instance, one camp is pushing for protectionist measures while the other recognizes the dire consequences that "Buy American" provisions might deliver.

1004 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Royd Allies

It takes him long enough, in freeform, that those of us, with AADD, have wandered off, to listen to the birds. We know that they speak the truth.

 

By Royd Allies on 02/25/2009 8:13 am
Marjorie C.

Serena: …his thoughts…

He’s reading a teleprompter…   and the words were probably written by someone other than he.

By Marjorie C. on 02/25/2009 9:36 am
sibelle daubigne

Marjorie, 

The words were written by Jon Favreau who is planning to write a screenplay or some fiction book! The fun keeps on! 

By sibelle daubigne on 02/25/2009 10:25 am
Susan Easterday

Finally, Liz, some sanity on this site.  My daughter (in kindergarten) gets a 6 week progress report.  This is Pres Obama’s 30 day progress report and she’s right.  Tons of new debt with lots of questionable programs. I would have like to have seen details of the jobs that each program was going to generate and the return on investment.  And they didn’t do that—I wonder why? Yes, he inherited this mess—but he asked to take it on. 

By Susan Easterday on 02/25/2009 9:59 am