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Wall Street Weekly | 02/20/2009 9:38 am

Liz Peek: Stock Market Gives Obama’s First Month An 'F'

By Liz Peek
© AP

Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist and the author of wOw’s Wall Street Weekly and SHEconomics.  

Today marks the one-month anniversary of President Obama’s inauguration. In his brief time in office, the president has overseen three massive new spending initiatives — the $787 billion stimulus bill, the trillion-dollar financial stability initiative and, most recently, the $275 billion mortgage assistance program.

That’s a lot of activity, and a ton of money, but so far the reaction to the new administration’s programs has been decidedly negative. Investors, among others, have panned the plans; the stock market is off nearly 10% from the day before the inauguration, or more than 800 points on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Yesterday, in fact, we crossed a truly alarming divide. The Dow Jones average closed at its lowest point since October 2002, the bottom of the last bear market. The S&P 500 fell to 779, barely above the intra-day low of 741 of last November. For many market analysts, if the market crashes through that recent benchmark, it will next move significantly lower. Ouch.

What is going to turn this beast around, and what should the president do? First of all, let’s dispense with the antiquated notion that only rich people own stocks, and that the market’s ups and downs are unimportant. Almost everyone has a stake in our financial markets, either through owning stocks and bonds directly or through pension plans. Even the neediest Americans who are fed or clothed by charities are hurt when those organizations’ endowments crater or donations dry up.

Clearly, it is way too early for any of the new stabilization and stimulus programs to have taken effect. Why then is the consensus so pessimistic? Certainly the political wrangling of the past month has dispelled optimism that President Obama can change the contentious nature of American politics. Both Democrats and Republicans have spurned Obama’s leadership. The free-for-all over the stimulus bill portrayed Congress in the worst possible light — no surprise there — and led Americans to view not only the process but the bill with utter skepticism. Delivering a 1000-page bill to our legislators just two hours before the signing deadline (and then going on a long-weekend holiday before signing it) was outrageous. The mortgage relief plan hasn’t been received much better. Most Americans (ninety two percent, by some estimates) pay their mortgages on time; they’re darned if they know why they should bail out their neighbors.

At the same time, Obama’s own administration seems sharply divided between pragmatists and ideologues. For instance, one camp is pushing for protectionist measures while the other recognizes the dire consequences that "Buy American" provisions might deliver.

1004 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Marjorie C.

Underdog:  I’m NOT Suzanne

My apologies.  For a minute there, you looked like her.

By Marjorie C. on 02/22/2009 5:23 am
deber B
You forgot "learning disability."
By deber B on 02/21/2009 8:02 am
Underdog Vigilante
That’s all cool!  WoW, you’ve allowed MUCH, MUCH worse comments, NOW you want to start deleting?
By Underdog Vigilante on 02/21/2009 9:46 am
eleanor roche
I’ve got to agree with you Underdog VigilantE!!
By eleanor roche on 02/21/2009 5:54 pm
Michael Kennedy

It is easy to give Obama an ‘F’. Obama has obviously forgotten his grade school American History lesson. FDR prolonged the Depression by implementing his New Deal. It took Americas industrial might during WWII to bring us out of the great depression.

If history repeats itself it is because we refuse to learn from it. Obama has two choices; either reverse his grand spending ideas and allow the markets to correct themselves naturaly or  get the U.S involved in a major world war in order to create manufacturing jobs which have been lost to overseas countries through very bad trade deals!

Written by Mike Kennedy

By Michael Kennedy on 02/21/2009 8:53 am
Mugsy Peabody
He hasn’t forgotten anything, Mike.  He just thinks there’s a possibility that we could make something work other than basing our economic structure on war, gun manufacture and prisons.
By Mugsy Peabody on 02/21/2009 3:06 pm
caj p

Well the country hasn’t just got into this mess and I wonder where all the outrage was before this came about!!  It has been coming a while and no one thought Bush should have shown better leadership..wonder why that was!!  Why have the jobs been lost overseas, seeing as we had such great leadership under Bush and how did the housing market crumble…because wonderful leadership under Bush…no regulation man himself.  Don’t talk to me about Obama’s grand spending when it’s done to help the people of this country when Bush has spent trillions in Iraq and lots of it not accounted for!!!  When someone can justify that waste of money to me and it was a waste as the war was unnecessary and based on lies….then they can talk about Obama and his spending and showing also how it will be spent at that.  Now there’s a refreshing change we the people actually be able to see where the money is being spent!!!

 

By caj p on 02/21/2009 10:25 pm
DeBúrca obj
Hoover prolonged the Depression, FDR took us out of it, through spending, spending from the New Deal and spending during WWII. Maybe it’s time to get your history from actual history books instead of right wing rewrites.
By DeBúrca obj on 02/22/2009 2:23 pm
Joshua Grove

Because, the stock market price is based on future result, not the current! For instance if I think a company is going to due very well next quarter, I buy it this quarter and its price goes up this quarter- NOT THE NEXT! So if Obama’s "Stimulus" plan had any chance of stimulus, it would go up NOW not later!

I think you should note that the "New Years" had more of a stimulus than Obama! People thought that the fact that it was 2009 was a reason to buy. Historically, getting a new president causes an artificial bump in the market for the simple fact that it reduces uncertainty. Obama caused the market to drop.

If you really think Obama’s stimulus plan is going to work than put some "skin" in the game as Obama says. Go and take everything you own and put it in the market and you will be rich when his changes start working. If it doesn’t, don’t worry, Obama will take care of you.

I will be staying out of the market for now!

By Joshua Grove on 02/21/2009 9:00 am
caj p

I do think it will work eventually, will it happen over night of course not but that is what everybody expects.  How can anyone be so self assured that it is going to fail…that is the hope of many of course not surprising negativity surrounds those kind of people.  We did have money in the stock market and lost a lot and that was when the FAMOUS LEADER OF THE FREE WORLD WAS  BUSH!!!!….and he never took care of me when that happened either!!!   These are no ordinary times and so easy to preach how badly Obama has done or will do….benefit of the doubt is not an option from the right but they are more in the market for doom and gloom…what happy souls they are.

By caj p on 02/21/2009 10:39 pm
george giles

Caj you miss the point.  The F is for the job Obama could have done in his first month.  He and the people that he’s selected to be in charge of running this country HAVE done a lousy job specifically in the area of LEADERSHIP.  For that he gets an F.  Now you are going to love this one:  Compare the job Bush did when faced with his first crisis - 911 with the job Obama has done with his first crisis - Recession.  Just compare the first month after these crisis.  Most people gave Bush high marks, not so with Obama.  Now this is not to say the LONG TERM the O admin will do better that B admin did.  But in the 30 days following their first crisis Bush showed leadership and poise that Obama has yet to grasp.

By george giles on 02/21/2009 9:02 am
Libra Lady
George…good point there…welcome, and thanks for the great post….you were spot on…
By Libra Lady on 02/21/2009 11:19 am
caj p

Oh yes, I remember when Bush was at that school and he looked totally baffled and like a deer in headlights when he got the news about the towers.  Leadership and poise my eye!!  Obama has got more leadership and poise in his little finger than Bush would ever have possessed!!!  What crisis did Bush face exactly in his FIRST 30 days as Bush and the 911 episode didn’t happen until Sept and that was 8 months on, so where exactly do you equate Obama’s first 30 days to Bush!!  Enlighten me do as I don’t recall him having anything as staggering as this to contend with!!!   This nonsense of Bush and his leadership is utter trash….the man couldn’t lead a horse to drink let alone run a country.

 

 

By caj p on 02/21/2009 10:03 pm
Carol Miller

And yet, not one terrorist attack occured during the rest of his presidency. In fact, dozens of them were prevented. 

He didn’t make his decisions based on whether or not they would make him popular. Our safety was more important than his popularity. Obama repeatedly quotes what "other people say".  I haven’t heard an original idea from him yet.

By Carol Miller on 02/25/2009 1:56 pm
caj p
He couldn’t make decisions that was the problem, he had Cheney working as his brain don’t you know that?  Of course you have never heard Obama have an original idea it’s called "not wanting to really listen"!!!!  We all know the "ditto heads" all paint with same brush on here so there is no more to be said.
By caj p on 02/25/2009 2:12 pm