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A Friend Stopped By | 10/08/2008 10:00 am

Paulson and Bernanke Should Listen to McCain’s Economic Plan, by Liz Peek

By Liz Peek
© AP

Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist and the author of wOw’s Wall Street Weekly

Here’s a shocker: Sen. McCain may have it right. While Paulson and Bernanke are scurrying about trying to keep our financial institutions afloat, the ongoing source of the rot — the mortgage debacle — has basically been left untouched. It’s like fussing over lifeboats while water gushes through the gaping hole in the hull. 

Mr. McCain proposed in last night’s debate a $300-billion plan under which the government would buy up mortgages gone sour and allow the borrowers to refinance at an affordable rate. I imagine that the $300 billion total was a figure plucked out of the air – but in this season of instant mega-deals there’s nothing new in that. It may well be that the cure for what ails us starts where the disease took hold – in the housing sector.

Vote! Who won round 2 of the presidential debates last night?

Had they turned $700 billion towards buying up and refinancing defunct mortgages a year ago ... we would never have come to this scary place.

Click Here to Visit the wowOwow Reader Forum on The John McCain-Barack Obama Presidential Debate 2, with commentary from Cynthia McFadden.

Today’s downward spiral in financial markets echoes the collapse in the housing market. The pattern is by now all too familiar. Someone defaults on their mortgage, the property goes into foreclosure, the house is thrown onto an already-glutted market and prices drift lower. Because easy credit led to stupid lending terms, homeowners see the value of their house sink below the amount they owe on their mortgage. They realize that paying off their mortgage is not an economically prudent thing to do, so they walk away, default, and the whole cycle worsens.

Those defunct mortgages then poison securities that were built on the credits, which undermine even more towering structures of debt, which then eventually bankrupt Lehman, Fannie, Freddie and all the other institutions that bought them. It’s a sorry mess, for sure.

Our financial gurus have taken unprecedented measures to contain the damage done to the banking system and to the economy, but Paulson and Bernanke have always been one step behind. That’s because they have not tackled the underlying problem. Had they turned $700 billion towards buying up and refinancing defunct mortgages a year ago, I am convinced we would never have come to this scary place. Instead, panic reigns around the world.

What really could be done to repair the mortgage market? First, a couple of numbers put this issue in perspective. As the head of Annaly Capital wrote in his monthly commentary released yesterday, "Subprime mortgages as a whole only total approximately $1 trillion or 8% to 10% of all mortgages outstanding – and of that only about 25% or so may ultimately default – and direct housing and housing-related jobs account for only a small fraction of the U.S. economy."

Of course, because of the cascading effect of the deteriorating housing market described earlier, the problems are no longer contained in the subprime sector. Even homeowners with good credit are defaulting on their mortgages – something that has never happened before.

However, if the government took the tack outlined in Sen. McCain’s proposal of helping only those who actually inhabit their homes, and who made their purchases with an honest loan application and a down payment, many of the subprime mortgages held by speculators would not qualify.

This approach will not stem the coming recession, but it might begin to shore up families struggling to keep their homes. In turn, Americans might begin to see a way forward. Helping hundreds of thousands of homeowners all across the country would bring government assistance down to ground level. One of the things clearly pressing financial markets lower has been the total and complete loss of faith in our leadership, on both sides of the aisle. All this money pouring out of the Treasury is slated to be spent in invisible ways. Who knows what Citigroup’s CDOs are worth? I don’t, and it’s pretty clear that the CEO of Citigroup doesn’t, either. Will the Treasury agents have any better idea? It’s not reassuring to most Americans that their hard-earned tax money is headed into the muck.

At the least, I’ll feel good about the government bailing out the family next door. I can see it, and it’s real. 

145 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Mommy Dearest
Liz dahling, These women will eat you alive if you agree with McCain - on ANYTHING. You’d best hire Sarah Palin as your bodyguard (with rifle cocked) and run for cover!
By Mommy Dearest on 10/08/2008 10:25 am
Lady Gator
Mommy ——-LOL —— Or maybe hire the VERY large Secret Service guy who travels with her.
By Lady Gator on 10/08/2008 1:40 pm
The Wine Warrior
The Economist, you know, the leading econ mag in the world, polled economist who widely favor Obama. So let’s see, Liz Peek whose husband is a NYC Banking CEO recommends that crooks like Paulson, should listent to McCain, and vice versa, both major parts of the reason for our financial woes having both consistently pushed for unfettered deregulation. Gee, that just makes so much good sense. [can google the poll is printed widely] “The Economist magazine surveyed members of the prestigious National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and responders overwhelmingly think Obama far surpasses McCain in his grasp of economics and think Obama’s plan is superior. These numbers are truly staggering! NBER is the cream of the crop…key excerpts from the Economist writeup: “Even among Republicans Mr Obama has the edge: 46% versus 23% say Mr Obama has the better grasp of the subject.“ comments James Harrigan at the University of Virginia ..“John McCain has professed disdain for ‘so-called economists’, and for some the feeling has become mutual,” says Erik Brynjolfsson, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Sloan School of Management. “Obama’s team is mainstream and non-ideological but extremely talented.” “Mr Obama, says Jonathan Parker, a non-aligned professor at Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Management, “is a pragmatist not an ideologue. I expect Clintonian economic policies.” “Twice as many economists think Mr McCain’s plan would be very bad for long-run growth as Mr Obama’s. Given how much focus Mr McCain has put on his plan’s benefits for growth, this last is quite a repudiation.
By The Wine Warrior on 10/08/2008 10:27 pm
Star Lawrence
Mommy Dearest? You haven’t used that in awhile, Suzanne. You will be one of the ones getting out the knife and fork for those who praise Sen McCain.
By Star Lawrence on 10/09/2008 10:37 am
Star Lawrence
If it wouldn’t sully your sensibilities too much—this is how Sen McCain’s website describes his plan: http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Issues/Read.aspx?guid=b9af0d4c-9c0e-…
By Star Lawrence on 10/09/2008 11:45 am
The Wine Warrior
McCain’s dangerous rage….with even fellow Republicans and military leaders stating they wouldn’t trust him with ‘the button.’ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAyK-enrF1g
By The Wine Warrior on 10/09/2008 1:03 pm
Zera Lee
Looks like something he wrote out on a napkin while waiting for his apple pie. It needs a lot of work before it is a plan worthy of $300B or more of taxpayer money. Let me know when his plan matures.
By Zera Lee on 10/09/2008 7:48 pm
Diana T
I am quite sure that Paulson and Bernanke are very familiar with the plans of both candidates. They are published in great detail, and easily available. And, whomever ends up in the Oval Office on January 20 will bring in his own advisors to modify the plan anyway. I also am amused everytime I hear McCain drop Warren Buffett’s name for two reasons: First he is on Obama’s advisory team,and is happily supporting his candidacy, and secondly, if anyone is against permanent tax cuts for the wealthy, it is Warren Buffett. He has railed against this for years, ditto for Bill Gates. We need to understand who Obama’s Economic Advisors: In addition to Warren Buffett’s support, there is Paul Volcker, Robert Rubin, Lawrence Summers, and many others that represent the gold standard of economists.
By Diana T on 10/08/2008 10:31 am
Barbara Taylor
McCain mentioning Buffett is a great example of his style. McCain is willing to go past party lines to put “Country First”. What is best for the country; not like Obama who just following the Dem party line. I think it’s amusing how Obama sounds more and more like McCain.
By Barbara Taylor on 10/08/2008 10:41 am
Marjorie C.
Barbara: I think it’s amusing how Obama sounds more and more like McCain. That is the modus operandi of the Obama camp. They did the same thing in the primaries. I guess the idea is to confuse the voters on the issues, thereby reducing the contest to a personality contest. Only thing is, someone by the name of Gov. Palin is in the background messing with the image.
By Marjorie C. on 10/08/2008 10:46 am
Lady Gator
Barbara —- You are right — “McCain mentioning Buffett is a great example of his style” — At times he has frustrated people in his own party. When he first won the primaries there were people (Republicans) who were saying — “I’ll stay home before I vote for him”. That’s changed with many of them. His ‘maverick’ stance is one of the reasons I made up my mind to vote for him. I think his suggestion was an excellent idea. I was talking with a banker friend of mine that said “It was the best comment of the entire debate”. He further said, “Just wait — someone from the Obama Camp will swear that Obama thought of it first”. Well, from what I’ve observed that statement is coming to fruition.
By Lady Gator on 10/08/2008 1:51 pm
Star Lawrence
As I recall, in the debate, when Sen McCain mentioned Buffett, Sen Obama said something like yeah, he is good, but there are many others who are good, too.
By Star Lawrence on 10/09/2008 11:38 am
Lady Gator
Star —-Not to change the subject — but I shall change the subject! LOL I found a few points to ponder this day — so I thought I would share with you ——- 1. There are more chickens than people in the world - that would explain all the chickies on this site 2. Our eyes are all the same size from birth, but our nose and EARS keep growing —- think I’ll pass on this one 3. There are only four words in the English language which end in ‘dous’ Tremendous, Horrendous, Stupendous, and Hazardous. You might say there has been a little of each on this site. And, you might say there has been a LOT of these ‘dous’s’ used on this site. I might ask you to think about which ones you think we have a boat load going on here! LOL Gee, maybe I shouldn’t have written this — I’m sure someone will ask for proof!!!!! LOL
By Lady Gator on 10/09/2008 12:22 pm
Star Lawrence
Loved this post, my Lady. It reminded me of a Geo Bernard Shaw story. Someone wrote to Shaw and said, “You, sir, are a student of the language and I thought you would be interested to know that “sugar” is the only word in the English language where “su” is pronounced “sh.” Shaw wrote a one-word reply: “Sure.”
By Star Lawrence on 10/10/2008 11:16 am