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A Friend Stopped By | 10/08/2008 10:00 am

Paulson and Bernanke Should Listen to McCain’s Economic Plan, by Liz Peek

By Liz Peek
© AP

Editor’s Note: Liz Peek is a financial columnist and the author of wOw’s Wall Street Weekly

Here’s a shocker: Sen. McCain may have it right. While Paulson and Bernanke are scurrying about trying to keep our financial institutions afloat, the ongoing source of the rot — the mortgage debacle — has basically been left untouched. It’s like fussing over lifeboats while water gushes through the gaping hole in the hull. 

Mr. McCain proposed in last night’s debate a $300-billion plan under which the government would buy up mortgages gone sour and allow the borrowers to refinance at an affordable rate. I imagine that the $300 billion total was a figure plucked out of the air – but in this season of instant mega-deals there’s nothing new in that. It may well be that the cure for what ails us starts where the disease took hold – in the housing sector.

Vote! Who won round 2 of the presidential debates last night?

Had they turned $700 billion towards buying up and refinancing defunct mortgages a year ago ... we would never have come to this scary place.

Click Here to Visit the wowOwow Reader Forum on The John McCain-Barack Obama Presidential Debate 2, with commentary from Cynthia McFadden.

Today’s downward spiral in financial markets echoes the collapse in the housing market. The pattern is by now all too familiar. Someone defaults on their mortgage, the property goes into foreclosure, the house is thrown onto an already-glutted market and prices drift lower. Because easy credit led to stupid lending terms, homeowners see the value of their house sink below the amount they owe on their mortgage. They realize that paying off their mortgage is not an economically prudent thing to do, so they walk away, default, and the whole cycle worsens.

Those defunct mortgages then poison securities that were built on the credits, which undermine even more towering structures of debt, which then eventually bankrupt Lehman, Fannie, Freddie and all the other institutions that bought them. It’s a sorry mess, for sure.

Our financial gurus have taken unprecedented measures to contain the damage done to the banking system and to the economy, but Paulson and Bernanke have always been one step behind. That’s because they have not tackled the underlying problem. Had they turned $700 billion towards buying up and refinancing defunct mortgages a year ago, I am convinced we would never have come to this scary place. Instead, panic reigns around the world.

What really could be done to repair the mortgage market? First, a couple of numbers put this issue in perspective. As the head of Annaly Capital wrote in his monthly commentary released yesterday, "Subprime mortgages as a whole only total approximately $1 trillion or 8% to 10% of all mortgages outstanding – and of that only about 25% or so may ultimately default – and direct housing and housing-related jobs account for only a small fraction of the U.S. economy."

Of course, because of the cascading effect of the deteriorating housing market described earlier, the problems are no longer contained in the subprime sector. Even homeowners with good credit are defaulting on their mortgages – something that has never happened before.

However, if the government took the tack outlined in Sen. McCain’s proposal of helping only those who actually inhabit their homes, and who made their purchases with an honest loan application and a down payment, many of the subprime mortgages held by speculators would not qualify.

This approach will not stem the coming recession, but it might begin to shore up families struggling to keep their homes. In turn, Americans might begin to see a way forward. Helping hundreds of thousands of homeowners all across the country would bring government assistance down to ground level. One of the things clearly pressing financial markets lower has been the total and complete loss of faith in our leadership, on both sides of the aisle. All this money pouring out of the Treasury is slated to be spent in invisible ways. Who knows what Citigroup’s CDOs are worth? I don’t, and it’s pretty clear that the CEO of Citigroup doesn’t, either. Will the Treasury agents have any better idea? It’s not reassuring to most Americans that their hard-earned tax money is headed into the muck.

At the least, I’ll feel good about the government bailing out the family next door. I can see it, and it’s real. 

145 Reader Comments (so far…) Sign In or Register to comment

Star Lawrence
By all means—maybe Barney Frank could do it. Or Chris (VIP mortgage) Dodd.
By Star Lawrence on 10/09/2008 10:52 am
Lady Gator
Star — “By all means” Having anyone, from either side of the aisle, question these scum bags, is akin to the pot calling the kettle black!! How about putting Bill O’Reilly up there. The way he went after Barney Frank the other night was sweet justice. We could also put Lesley Stahl on there — she can get to the point. The FBI would be nice - this is definitely corruption. I want to see these guys have to hide under the table. Can you come up with a few more names? That’s a long questioning table up there. Lots of room - but NO members of Congress. Remember, when you make your suggestions, it’s got to be someone who doesn’t mind tough questioning!
By Lady Gator on 10/09/2008 2:44 pm
Star Lawrence
I was being sarcastic with the “by all means.” Apparently Barney Frank’s live-in at the time all these loans were being pushed worked at Fannie. Just another tidbit for the wretched stew. Who should look into this—well, hmmm… I know O’Reilly can be a clown but he does get to the point these days—and if anything for my taste, gives Sen Obama too much of the benefit of the doubt. Newt is pretty smart-sounding on these things, though he has a lot to atone for. That Steve Wynn guy is pretty business-savvy. I used to like Robert Reich, then he started angling for a slot in the coming admin. Lou Dobbs—I don’t agree with everything he says, but he is completely pissed off. Cramer? Where is Perot? Is he alive?
By Star Lawrence on 10/10/2008 10:06 am
Lady Gator
Star……….Please promise me you won’t leave this site. I love your sarcasm and your wit. Sure would be lonely on here without the humor. Don’t leave all of us who are flogged each day!!! There are days when I have to sail through the “club” meeting — can’t take too much of the “oh, you are so right so & so” or “what a wonderful post” — “Let me paste up the latest from Huffington” . …… And, then WALLAH — you are there with that great ‘funny’. So, please stay around.
By Lady Gator on 10/10/2008 11:34 am
Star Lawrence
You made my day! I don’t seem to be going anywhere…When the voices in my head say take a break, I do…LOL. (Kidding about the voices, Suzanne.)
By Star Lawrence on 10/11/2008 11:44 am
Patty E
Elisabeth—-I totally agree…all over the place I am reading calls to fire Cox! who is TOTALLY responsible as one who failed to do his at the SEC, for example, as Bloomberg reported late last night… But for you, a story about an industry outsider, who is the very first one in this country, to ‘do the right thing’ regarding foreclosures in Chicago… Cook sheriff won’t evict in foreclosures http://www.chicagobusiness.com/cgi-bin/news.pl?id=31327 Cook sheriff won’t evict in foreclosures Oct. 08, 2008 (AP) — Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart says he’s ordered his deputies to stop taking part in evictions of properties that have been foreclosed upon. Dart says the change goes into effect Thursday. He says the decision comes because many of those being evicted are people who’ve been faithfully paying rent and didn’t even know about the foreclosures. Dart says he thinks he’s the first sheriff in a major metropolitan area to stop such evictions during what’s become a major foreclosure crisis around the nation. Dart says the number of mortgage foreclosures in Cook County has skyrocketed this year and that he expects that number to climb much higher.
By Patty E on 10/08/2008 9:17 pm
g c
Patty, I also read the info earlier and am glad you so kindly posted it here. That is what we need as a nation more good people willing to stand up like Sheriff Dart, maybe we need guys like him to go to Wall Street and clean up all the B. S. and make a stand for what is right and decent. One other thought I have is that if Americans are going to recover and climb out of debt there should be limits on how much credit card companies could charge in interest. If a top limit of 10-15 percent were enacted I believe that as a country our debt would go down substantially and people might be able to save and I think this should be tackled at the same time we deal with the sub prime mortgage mess. I am tired of these companies screwing the citizens of this country to line the pockets of the few. I am no economist but if strict limits were enacted and these companies had to roll rates back Americans would climb out of debt quicker and have more money to spend on things like gas and groceries or pay for their prescriptions or high electricity bills. If we clean up the mortgages without cleaning up the credit card and loan companies the slimy sob’s will just look to stick people that way because they have to feed their constant greed.
By g c on 10/08/2008 10:35 pm
Patty E
g c, thank you. Regarding Credit card interest….it has been my experience that the better the credit rating, the lower the interest rate. My dad, who worked in a factory for over 40 years, and my mom, who payed their house off early, and had a savings account to boot, had an incredible FICO score….so good, that his interest was never been above 8%—and there were times, it went ot 0%, as a special promo deal. Unfortunately, those that need the credit cards the most, are the ones who PAY the most to use them…… I agree with you, that if there really was a limit charged on fees and interest, if someone REALLY forced the usury laws to be followed—-instead of walking away from their debt, more would be willing to pay their debt, and the faster the balances would go down…..and the less combative the whole situation. What really came to my mind earlier today, was—-well—-I wonder what AIG would do, if I wrote them a letter explaining that I could not pay the insurance bill that is due tomorrow, because, well, I just lost a whole bunch of money in the stock market—and some of the loss was because of my AIG stock! And then I could ask if they were willing to use some of my tax dollars that they got, and make the payment for me this time…as I didn;t have a lot of people able to bail me out of this one… What do you think? Will my plea work? ha! I think it should!.
By Patty E on 10/08/2008 11:03 pm
g c
Patty, you are right credit score does have something to do with it but some of these companies even if you are 1 day late with a payment in a whole years time will try to yank your rates plus the fees. I have had to call on this issue twice before with different companies. One of them their internet site was down and that is why I couldn’t make the payment that day when it was due yet I had to argue with them to not charge the fee. We have got to get a hold of this credit crisis as a country. The government needs to put a big foot upside their behind. If the credit card issue was dealt with maybe Americans could afford to save as the populations debt ratios went down and mortgages could be taken care of as well. I am tired of bailing out Wall Street, like someone else said I would rather bail out my neighbors and my community. We all know what those CEO’s think of the general population. I believe “let them eat cake” is appropriate on their part. Wonder how many of them are bailing out of the country to where they have hidden their ill gotten gains. Sometimes I just have to remember a few parables about wealth like the one it is easier for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle then for a rich man to enter the kingdom of heaven. I’m not sure the elite in our country would like Heaven it seems to be a little more socialist then country club from how it is explained in scripture. I believe Greed is one of the seven deadly sins and we are seeing the consequences of of it. There is blame to go around but I will say when we bought our last house 3 years ago it seems like it was way more complex and hard to follow then when we built in 97 I found it about as confusing as reading many Americans health insurance policy. That is what they try to do baffle us with bullshit. good luck with your plea yeah right.
By g c on 10/09/2008 12:10 am
Star Lawrence
The Dem candidate voted against capping interest (said the cap was too high, so no cap would be better—huh). His running mate is in the wallet of the credit card co’s in Delaware and voted to clamp down on bankrupt people…really looking out for the folks, as these people now like to term us.
By Star Lawrence on 10/09/2008 10:56 am
James the Game
It’s interesting, the fact-checking by the Associated Press on some of the McCain & Obama plans. The AP cites a Tax Policy Center estimates that McCain’s health-care plan would increase the federal deficit by $1.3 trillion over 10 years, due mainly to lost tax revenue. And Obama’s plan would result in a $281 billion net increase in the deficit. Obviously, neither one of these guys are going to be able to pay for their plans, especially with the economy in the bind it’s in.
By James the Game on 10/08/2008 10:42 pm
Patty E
why thank you James, for the directions to a reputable source to compare the two. Much appreciated.
By Patty E on 10/08/2008 11:09 pm
James the Game
Thanks.
By James the Game on 10/08/2008 11:12 pm
f p
McCain ‘s Medicare plan and its impact on older people: Earlier this week, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) admitted he would cut $1.3 trillion from Medicare and Medicaid over the next ten years to finance his health care plan. McCain’s proposed cuts echo former House Speaker Newt Gingrich’s 1995 effort to cut $270 billion, or 14 percent, from projected Medicare spending over seven years and force millions of elderly recipients into managed health care programs or HMOs. As Gingrich admitted, “We don’t want to get rid of it [traditional Medicare] in round one because we don’t think it’s politically smart.” “But we believe that it’s going to wither on the vine because we think [seniors] are going to leave it voluntarily,” he added. Despite McCain’s career-long support for limiting Medicare benefits and eligibility, the campaign, is denying that its financing mechanism would undermine benefits. Appearing on CNN, McCain senior policy adviser Douglas Holtz-Eakin implied that “McCain would save money in the federal health programs” by focusing on preventive care and weeding out $1.3 trillion worth of inefficiency and fraud. Nonetheless, a Center for American Progress Action Fund (CAPAF) analysis of the senator’s proposed cuts finds that McCain but also undermine Medicare and Medicaid benefits and eligibility and would force those with private insurance plans to pay more for health coverage out of pocket. CUTS IN MEDICARE: To achieve his goal of cutting Medicare by 13 percent over 10 years, McCain will have to limit growth in enrollment and medical price inflation to 4.5 percent annually. To maintain the current operations of the existing Medicare program, however, a growth rate of at least 7.1 percent is needed over the next 10 years to cover the 2.7 percent average annual growth in enrollment and a projected rate of medical price inflation of 4.4 percent. Absent another change in his plan, McCain would have to reduce Medicare eligibility, reduce benefits, and/or increase cost-sharing. Either approach would jeopardize the benefits of existing beneficiaries and severely limit the program from accepting new enrollees. CUTS IN MEDICAID: Assuming McCain’s proposed cuts are proportionally divided between the two programs, McCain would also slash Medicaid spending by 13 percent over 10 years. McCain’s cuts would limit Medicaid growth to 5.5 percent annually — a six percent growth rate barely keeps up with medical inflation and enrollment growth — and would likely yield a parallel cut in state funding. As a result, McCain’s plan would result in a total reduction in Medicaid spending of $738 billion over 10 years, more than the cost of providing benefits for all Medicaid beneficiaries for two years. These cuts will likely cascade into the State Children’s Health Insurance Program the federal program that covers millions of children who otherwise would not have access to health insurance. COSTS SHIFT TO PRIVATE INSURANCE: If the government’s support of public programs fall, those with private insurance will end up paying more as health care providers shift costs to private payers. Low payment rates in the public market will lead health care providers to pursue higher payments from the private market. As CAPAF Senior Fellow Peter Harbage points out, this cost shift represents a “hidden tax” on Americans with private insurance. Private payers will pay higher premiums and deductibles in order to make-up for McCain’s radical cuts to public programs and would also finance more expensive emergency room care for individuals who are no longer covered by Medicaid. A 2005 study by Professor Ken Thorpe of Emory University concluded that cost-shifting nationally accounts for 8.5 percent of premiums. Unfortunately, McCain’s proposed cuts to Medicare and Medicaid will only increase the “hidden tax” on millions of Americans.
By f p on 10/09/2008 1:00 pm
Edwina Cooper
Hi all, I know this is way off topic but I would like you all to weigh in on this ad McCain is running. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/09/mccain-ayers-ad-says-terr_n_133…. I think its despicable and should be pulled, I’m so mad I don’t wannna comment on it anymore.
By Edwina Cooper on 10/09/2008 1:40 pm